South Dakota State

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.2%South Dakota State

83.8%St. Thomas-Minnesota

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSt. Thomas-Minnesota -11.3

PROJECTED TOTAL153.0

MODEL MONEYLINESt. Thomas-Minnesota -517

St. Thomas-Minnesota

24-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouth Dakota State 71

Projected Total153.0

Projected ScoreSt. Thomas-Minnesota 82

Team Comparison

South Dakota StateMetricSt. Thomas-Minnesota

49.6MMH Power Index59.8

110.6Offensive Efficiency116.8

106.9Defensive Efficiency102.2

3.7Net Efficiency14.6

-2.2Strength of Schedule-3.6

0.5Last 10 Net Efficiency14.7

68.2Tempo70.0

52.6%Effective FG%59.2%

16.2%Turnover Rate13.9%

31.5%Offensive Rebound %22.1%

30.3%Free Throw Rate35.2%

2.6Average Margin10.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. Thomas-Minnesota HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. Thomas-Minnesota holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–49.6), offensive efficiency (116.8–110.6), defensive efficiency (102.2–106.9), net efficiency (14.6–3.7).

South Dakota State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.2–-3.6), offensive rebounding (31.5–22.1).

Final

South Dakota State

67—80

St. Thomas-Minnesota

St. Thomas-Minnesota by 13 • 64.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

South Dakota StateTEAM STATSt. Thomas-Minnesota

24-63FG24-47

38.0%FG%51.0%

6-293PT12-27

21.0%3PT%44.0%

13-14FT20-25

93.0%FT%80.0%

37Rebounds25

16Offensive Rebounds4

13Assists14

12Turnovers8

6Steals5

—Blocks5

23Fouls15

Player Box Score

South Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Jaden Jackson	G	39	6-18	2-10	2-2	3	1	5	16
Joe Sayler	G	37	3-12	2-8	5-5	4	4	1	13
Damon Wilkinson	C	22	5-7	0-0	3-3	5	2	0	13
Matthew Mors	F	33	4-9	0-2	1-1	5	2	0	9
Kalen Garry	G	25	3-7	2-4	0-0	6	2	0	8
Alec Squires	C	19	2-3	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	5
Luke Haertle	G	20	1-6	0-4	1-1	6	2	0	3
Caleb Delzell	F	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0

St. Thomas-Minnesota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ben Oosterbaan	F	31	8-13	5-8	2-2	4	2	1	1	23
Nolan Minessale	G	39	7-12	4-6	4-5	8	6	1	2	22
Nick Janowski	G	34	4-11	1-6	1-1	0	1	3	0	10
Isaiah Johnson-Arigu	F	25	3-7	0-3	2-3	3	1	0	1	8
Carter Bjerke	F	19	2-3	2-3	2-2	2	0	0	0	8
Austin Herro	G	29	0-1	0-1	6-6	4	3	0	1	6
Ryan Dufault	G	17	0-0	0-0	3-6	2	1	0	0	3
Jermaine Coleman	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Hayden Tibbits	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.3Possessions64.3

104.2Offensive Efficiency124.4

124.4Defensive Efficiency104.2

-20.2Net Efficiency20.2

42.9%Effective FG%63.8%

48.1%True Shooting %67.9%

18.3%Turnover Rate12.7%

22.2%Free Throw Rate53.2%

46.0%3-Point Rate57.4%

1.08Assist / Turnover1.75

Game Summary

St. Thomas-Minnesota won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 64.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.