Evansville

7-25

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

2.2%Evansville

97.8%Northern Iowa

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Iowa -24.3

PROJECTED TOTAL136.2

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Iowa -4445

Northern Iowa

23-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEvansville 56

Projected Total136.2

Projected ScoreNorthern Iowa 80

Team Comparison

EvansvilleMetricNorthern Iowa

31.6MMH Power Index61

98.5Offensive Efficiency108.4

112.4Defensive Efficiency96.4

-13.9Net Efficiency12.0

1.8Strength of Schedule2.2

-23.0Last 10 Net Efficiency13.9

68.0Tempo64.1

50.0%Effective FG%54.6%

18.9%Turnover Rate14.4%

22.2%Offensive Rebound %21.9%

30.8%Free Throw Rate26.2%

-9.5Average Margin7.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Iowa HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY97.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Iowa holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.0–31.6), offensive efficiency (108.4–98.5), defensive efficiency (96.4–112.4), net efficiency (12.0–-13.9).

Evansville COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (22.2–21.9), free throw rate (30.8–26.2).

Final

Evansville

59—68

Northern Iowa

Northern Iowa by 9 • 62.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

EvansvilleTEAM STATNorthern Iowa

19-51FG23-60

37.0%FG%38.0%

9-253PT6-28

36.0%3PT%21.0%

12-15FT16-22

80.0%FT%73.0%

36Rebounds37

9Offensive Rebounds12

10Assists16

14Turnovers4

3Steals6

2Blocks5

18Fouls17

Player Box Score

Evansville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
AJ Casey	F	39	6-15	2-5	9-10	10	3	2	1	23
Leif Moeller	G	39	6-13	2-6	1-2	5	3	1	0	15
Trent Hundley	F	33	4-6	4-6	2-3	4	1	0	0	14
Alex Hemenway	G	32	2-8	1-5	0-0	6	0	0	0	5
Joshua Hughes	F	23	1-4	0-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
James Dyson-Merwe	F	18	0-2	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	1	0
Bryce Quinet	G	16	0-3	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	0

Northern Iowa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trey Campbell	G	39	8-19	5-12	2-2	4	3	1	3	23
Will Hornseth	F	35	5-11	0-0	3-6	8	3	2	0	13
Leon Bond III	F	34	3-12	0-6	4-4	4	1	0	1	10
Tristan Smith	F	30	4-5	0-0	2-4	13	4	1	0	10
Max Weisbrod	G	33	1-5	0-4	5-6	3	2	2	0	7
Ismael Diouf	F	6	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Ben Schwieger	F	14	1-4	0-2	0-0	3	1	0	1	2
RJ Taylor	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	2	0	0	0
Kyle Pock	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Geon Hutchins	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.8Possessions62.8

93.9Offensive Efficiency108.3

108.3Defensive Efficiency93.9

-14.3Net Efficiency14.3

46.1%Effective FG%43.3%

50.8%True Shooting %48.3%

22.2%Turnover Rate6.4%

29.4%Free Throw Rate36.7%

49.0%3-Point Rate46.7%

0.71Assist / Turnover4.00

Game Summary

Northern Iowa won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 62.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.