Bellarmine

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

17.9%Bellarmine

82.1%Central Arkansas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Arkansas -11.6

PROJECTED TOTAL163.0

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Arkansas -459

Central Arkansas

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBellarmine 76

Projected Total163.0

Projected ScoreCentral Arkansas 87

Team Comparison

BellarmineMetricCentral Arkansas

44.9MMH Power Index54

119.6Offensive Efficiency113.9

122.1Defensive Efficiency105.2

-2.5Net Efficiency8.7

-2.8Strength of Schedule-3.9

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency9.8

66.9Tempo71.0

60.0%Effective FG%54.3%

15.3%Turnover Rate15.3%

22.7%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

35.3%Free Throw Rate30.7%

-1.7Average Margin6.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Arkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.0–44.9), defensive efficiency (105.2–122.1), net efficiency (8.7–-2.5), recent form (9.8–0.3).

Bellarmine COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (119.6–113.9), strength of schedule (-2.8–-3.9), shooting efficiency (60.0–54.3).

Final

Bellarmine

73—86

Central Arkansas

Central Arkansas by 13 • 63.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BellarmineTEAM STATCentral Arkansas

27-52FG31-53

52.0%FG%58.0%

9-263PT13-26

35.0%3PT%50.0%

10-14FT11-14

71.0%FT%79.0%

25Rebounds26

8Offensive Rebounds7

18Assists18

12Turnovers11

6Steals7

2Blocks3

16Fouls18

Player Box Score

Bellarmine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jack Karasinski	F	32	9-16	3-8	2-2	3	2	1	0	23
Brian Waddell	F	34	5-8	1-3	4-4	5	3	0	0	15
Tyler Doyle	G	32	4-8	2-4	2-4	2	6	1	0	12
Sam Donald	F	31	3-6	2-5	1-1	3	4	0	0	9
Kenyon Goodin	G	29	3-7	1-4	1-1	3	2	1	0	8
Myles Watkins	G	17	2-4	0-0	0-0	3	1	3	1	4
Jacob Wassler	C	13	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Donovan Hunter	F	8	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Michael Wilson Jr.	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Darrius Bolden	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Tommy Clark	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Grant Neal	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-2	0	0	0	0	0

Central Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Camren Hunter	G	26	12-16	4-6	3-3	4	2	1	0	31
Luke Moore	G	31	5-9	2-4	2-3	3	7	1	0	14
Ty Robinson	G	29	5-8	2-5	0-0	3	0	2	0	12
Harry Beauchamp	G	22	4-6	2-3	2-2	1	3	0	0	12
Truman Byrne	F	17	1-1	0-0	2-2	2	1	0	1	4
Cole McCormick	F	13	1-2	1-2	1-2	1	2	0	0	4
Javion Guy-King	G	26	1-7	1-4	0-0	6	1	2	1	3
Malchiah Marable	F	22	1-1	0-0	1-2	2	2	1	1	3
Tyler Lee	G	10	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Parker Applegate	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
J.C. Shulman	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Owen Derhmann	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.2Possessions63.2

115.5Offensive Efficiency136.1

136.1Defensive Efficiency115.5

-20.6Net Efficiency20.6

60.6%Effective FG%70.8%

62.2%True Shooting %72.1%

19.2%Turnover Rate17.3%

26.9%Free Throw Rate26.4%

50.0%3-Point Rate49.1%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.64

Game Summary

Central Arkansas won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 63.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.