Southern Miss

19-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

38.9%Southern Miss

61.1%Texas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas State -4.1

PROJECTED TOTAL147.9

MODEL MONEYLINETexas State -157

Texas State

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern Miss 72

Projected Total147.9

Projected ScoreTexas State 76

Team Comparison

Southern MissMetricTexas State

49.9MMH Power Index49.4

106.1Offensive Efficiency107.7

104.9Defensive Efficiency103.4

1.2Net Efficiency4.3

-0.2Strength of Schedule-4.7

3.8Last 10 Net Efficiency9.1

70.4Tempo68.6

49.9%Effective FG%51.3%

18.4%Turnover Rate18.4%

32.3%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

43.9%Free Throw Rate36.0%

0.9Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (107.7–106.1), defensive efficiency (103.4–104.9), net efficiency (4.3–1.2), recent form (9.1–3.8).

Southern Miss COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (49.9–49.4), strength of schedule (-0.2–-4.7), free throw rate (43.9–36.0).

Final

Southern Miss

81—77

Texas State

Southern Miss by 4 • 69.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southern MissTEAM STATTexas State

25-47FG29-59

53.0%FG%49.0%

3-83PT2-6

38.0%3PT%33.0%

28-37FT17-20

76.0%FT%85.0%

26Rebounds32

6Offensive Rebounds12

7Assists11

11Turnovers12

5Steals5

3Blocks—

15Fouls25

Player Box Score

Southern Miss

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tylik Weeks	F	36	9-18	0-1	14-14	1	2	0	0	32
Dylan Brumfield	G	39	2-7	0-1	6-6	4	1	1	1	10
Djahi Binet	F	31	4-7	0-1	2-4	7	1	0	1	10
Isaac Taveras	G	19	3-5	0-0	4-6	4	2	3	1	10
Chiante' Tramble	G	16	3-5	0-1	1-2	0	0	1	0	7
Israel Hart	G	24	1-1	1-1	1-2	2	0	0	0	4
Curt Lewis	G	23	1-2	1-2	0-2	4	0	0	0	3
Dalyn Brandon	G	3	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Tegra Izay	C	9	1-1	0-0	0-1	3	1	0	0	2

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
DJ Hall	F	35	10-18	0-0	5-6	11	2	1	25
Mark Drone	G	36	6-17	0-2	7-8	1	2	0	19
Kaden Gumbs	G	29	2-4	1-2	3-3	2	2	1	8
Tay Knox	C	21	3-4	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	6
Makai Willis	C	12	3-3	0-0	0-0	7	0	0	6
Jalen Bolden	G	11	2-4	0-1	2-3	1	0	0	6
Franck Emmou	G	29	2-2	1-1	0-0	2	4	2	5
Kyndall Davis	G	18	1-6	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	2
Robert Fields	C	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.1Possessions69.1

117.2Offensive Efficiency111.4

111.4Defensive Efficiency117.2

5.8Net Efficiency-5.8

56.4%Effective FG%50.8%

62.7%True Shooting %56.2%

15.8%Turnover Rate17.5%

78.7%Free Throw Rate33.9%

17.0%3-Point Rate10.2%

0.64Assist / Turnover0.92

Game Summary

Southern Miss won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 69.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.