Georgia Southern

21-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.7%Georgia Southern

68.3%South Alabama

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouth Alabama -6.1

PROJECTED TOTAL154.9

MODEL MONEYLINESouth Alabama -215

South Alabama

21-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGeorgia Southern 74

Projected Total154.9

Projected ScoreSouth Alabama 80

Team Comparison

Georgia SouthernMetricSouth Alabama

49.1MMH Power Index51.4

112.3Offensive Efficiency110.3

110.6Defensive Efficiency103.9

1.7Net Efficiency6.4

-2.2Strength of Schedule-3.7

1.7Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

72.0Tempo67.4

52.1%Effective FG%53.2%

14.5%Turnover Rate12.8%

28.6%Offensive Rebound %24.9%

39.5%Free Throw Rate39.8%

1.2Average Margin4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

South Alabama HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouth Alabama holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–49.1), defensive efficiency (103.9–110.6), net efficiency (6.4–1.7), recent form (3.4–1.7).

Georgia Southern COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (112.3–110.3), strength of schedule (-2.2–-3.7), offensive rebounding (28.6–24.9).

Final

Georgia Southern

94—85

South Alabama

Georgia Southern by 9 • 67.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Georgia SouthernTEAM STATSouth Alabama

29-52FG29-61

56.0%FG%48.0%

23-443PT10-19

52.0%3PT%53.0%

13-17FT17-28

76.0%FT%61.0%

29Rebounds36

6Offensive Rebounds16

22Assists15

13Turnovers9

6Steals9

4Blocks—

18Fouls15

Player Box Score

Georgia Southern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alden Applewhite	F	38	11-12	8-9	4-5	3	1	1	0	34
Tyren Moore	G	33	7-18	6-15	3-3	5	9	3	0	23
Nakavieon White	F	33	5-7	3-5	4-7	9	7	1	1	17
Tsvet Sotirov	F	16	3-5	3-5	0-0	0	0	0	1	9
Spudd Webb	G	35	1-4	1-4	2-2	6	3	1	0	5
Khayri Dunn	G	10	1-4	1-4	0-0	1	2	0	0	3
Dwayne Williams Jr	G	6	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Shainen Carter	F	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	0
Andres Burney	F	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Jefferson Koulibaly	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

South Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Chaze Harris	G	36	5-17	0-0	7-12	6	10	2	17
Hantz Louis-Jeune	G	36	5-9	3-5	3-6	4	0	1	16
Adam Olsen	F	25	4-11	3-5	5-6	1	0	1	16
Stephen Williams	F	22	5-7	0-0	1-2	7	0	0	11
John Broom	G	19	4-5	2-3	0-0	5	2	2	10
Randy Brady	F	18	3-4	0-1	1-2	2	0	2	7
Jayden Cooper	G	27	2-7	1-4	0-0	1	0	1	5
JJ Wheat	G	17	1-1	1-1	0-0	3	3	0	3

Advanced Game Stats

67.2Possessions67.2

139.9Offensive Efficiency126.5

126.5Defensive Efficiency139.9

13.4Net Efficiency-13.4

77.9%Effective FG%55.7%

78.2%True Shooting %57.2%

19.4%Turnover Rate13.4%

32.7%Free Throw Rate45.9%

84.6%3-Point Rate31.1%

1.69Assist / Turnover1.67

Game Summary

Georgia Southern won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 67.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.