Portland

15-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

23.5%Portland

76.5%Washington State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWashington State -8.1

PROJECTED TOTAL156.1

MODEL MONEYLINEWashington State -326

Washington State

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePortland 74

Projected Total156.1

Projected ScoreWashington State 82

Team Comparison

PortlandMetricWashington State

42.7MMH Power Index48.7

104.8Offensive Efficiency110.0

110.6Defensive Efficiency112.0

-5.8Net Efficiency-2.0

1.8Strength of Schedule3.3

-8.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.5

71.0Tempo69.2

52.0%Effective FG%54.9%

19.3%Turnover Rate18.8%

28.7%Offensive Rebound %29.7%

36.9%Free Throw Rate31.3%

-4.1Average Margin-1.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Washington State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWashington State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.7–42.7), offensive efficiency (110.0–104.8), net efficiency (-2.0–-5.8), strength of schedule (3.3–1.8).

Portland COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (110.6–112.0), free throw rate (36.9–31.3).

Final

Portland

74—68

Washington State

Portland by 6 • 69.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

PortlandTEAM STATWashington State

26-55FG25-66

47.0%FG%38.0%

4-153PT9-31

27.0%3PT%29.0%

18-21FT9-11

86.0%FT%82.0%

38Rebounds34

6Offensive Rebounds8

13Assists21

10Turnovers7

1Steals6

5Blocks—

11Fouls18

Player Box Score

Portland

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Garrett Nuckolls	G	33	8-14	0-2	7-8	6	3	0	1	23
Joel Foxwell	G	38	4-14	1-5	8-8	10	5	0	0	17
Jermaine Ballisager Webb	C	27	5-9	1-2	0-1	12	0	0	2	11
Mikah Ballew	G	17	4-7	2-5	1-2	0	1	0	0	11
Dante Censori-Hercules	G	36	4-4	0-0	2-2	2	2	1	1	10
James O'Donnell	F	31	1-4	0-0	0-0	5	2	0	0	2
Cameron Williams	F	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Matúš Hronský	F	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Sam Noland	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Washington State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Ace Glass	G	35	7-16	4-10	1-2	1	5	1	19
ND Okafor	F	23	6-12	0-0	0-0	6	1	0	12
Eemeli Yalaho	F	32	4-9	1-4	2-2	6	2	1	11
Jerone Morton	G	31	4-7	2-4	0-0	3	5	2	10
Simon Hildebrandt	F	17	2-6	2-5	0-0	1	2	0	6
Rihards Vavers	F	27	1-8	0-5	3-3	5	1	1	5
Tomas Thrastarson	G	20	0-4	0-2	3-4	3	2	0	3
Adria Rodriguez	G	15	1-4	0-1	0-0	4	3	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

69.6Possessions69.6

106.3Offensive Efficiency97.7

97.7Defensive Efficiency106.3

8.6Net Efficiency-8.6

50.9%Effective FG%44.7%

56.9%True Shooting %47.7%

14.5%Turnover Rate10.0%

38.2%Free Throw Rate16.7%

27.3%3-Point Rate47.0%

1.30Assist / Turnover3.00

Game Summary

Portland won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 69.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.