Northern Iowa

23-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

55.9%Northern Iowa

44.1%Illinois State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois State -0.3

PROJECTED TOTAL136.0

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Iowa -127

Illinois State

23-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Iowa 68

Projected Total136.0

Projected ScoreIllinois State 68

Team Comparison

Northern IowaMetricIllinois State

61MMH Power Index54.3

108.4Offensive Efficiency110.6

96.4Defensive Efficiency101.4

12.0Net Efficiency9.2

2.2Strength of Schedule1.0

13.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.4

64.1Tempo67.5

54.6%Effective FG%54.3%

14.4%Turnover Rate16.8%

21.9%Offensive Rebound %28.3%

26.2%Free Throw Rate32.0%

7.7Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Iowa HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Iowa holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.0–54.3), defensive efficiency (96.4–101.4), net efficiency (12.0–9.2), strength of schedule (2.2–1.0).

Illinois State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (110.6–108.4), offensive rebounding (28.3–21.9), free throw rate (32.0–26.2).

Final

Northern Iowa

74—52

Illinois State

Northern Iowa by 22 • 62.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern IowaTEAM STATIllinois State

29-54FG15-46

54.0%FG%33.0%

8-193PT3-20

42.0%3PT%15.0%

8-11FT19-28

73.0%FT%68.0%

35Rebounds26

8Offensive Rebounds8

21Assists8

12Turnovers10

4Steals7

3Blocks3

25Fouls15

Player Box Score

Northern Iowa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Leon Bond III	F	30	9-13	1-4	0-0	4	0	1	0	19
Trey Campbell	G	37	5-13	2-7	0-1	6	1	1	0	12
Ben Schwieger	F	27	5-9	1-3	0-0	8	3	0	1	11
Will Hornseth	F	21	3-7	0-0	3-4	5	6	0	2	9
Tristan Smith	F	16	2-3	0-0	5-6	2	3	1	0	9
Max Weisbrod	G	33	3-4	2-3	0-0	0	4	0	0	8
RJ Taylor	G	20	2-3	2-2	0-0	3	3	1	0	6
Ismael Diouf	F	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Geon Hutchins	G	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Kyle Pock	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Hunter Jacobson	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chase Walker	F	24	2-7	0-1	7-13	5	2	0	2	11
Landon Wolf	G	33	3-7	1-4	2-2	4	1	0	0	9
Johnny Kinziger	G	38	3-5	0-2	2-3	3	3	4	0	8
Mason Klabo	G	21	2-3	2-3	2-2	1	1	0	0	8
Ty Pence	G	28	3-10	0-3	1-1	6	0	1	1	7
Boden Skunberg	G	22	2-7	0-3	0-0	3	0	1	0	4
Ty'Reek Coleman	G	10	0-2	0-0	4-5	2	1	0	0	4
Landon Moore	G	14	0-1	0-1	1-2	1	0	1	0	1
Brandon Lieb	F	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jack Daugherty	F	4	0-3	0-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.3Possessions62.3

118.8Offensive Efficiency83.5

83.5Defensive Efficiency118.8

35.3Net Efficiency-35.3

61.1%Effective FG%35.9%

62.5%True Shooting %43.8%

19.0%Turnover Rate16.3%

20.4%Free Throw Rate60.9%

35.2%3-Point Rate43.5%

1.75Assist / Turnover0.80

Game Summary

Northern Iowa won by 22 points. The game played at approximately 62.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.