Florida Gulf Coast

16-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.8%Florida Gulf Coast

75.2%Central Arkansas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Arkansas -8.3

PROJECTED TOTAL157.8

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Arkansas -303

Central Arkansas

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFlorida Gulf Coast 75

Projected Total157.8

Projected ScoreCentral Arkansas 83

Team Comparison

Florida Gulf CoastMetricCentral Arkansas

48.6MMH Power Index54

110.5Offensive Efficiency113.9

109.2Defensive Efficiency105.2

1.3Net Efficiency8.7

-1.8Strength of Schedule-3.9

0.7Last 10 Net Efficiency9.8

70.0Tempo71.0

52.1%Effective FG%54.3%

15.7%Turnover Rate15.3%

32.3%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

29.9%Free Throw Rate30.7%

0.9Average Margin6.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Arkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.0–48.6), offensive efficiency (113.9–110.5), defensive efficiency (105.2–109.2), net efficiency (8.7–1.3).

Florida Gulf Coast COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.8–-3.9), offensive rebounding (32.3–29.6).

Final

Florida Gulf Coast

63—73

Central Arkansas

Central Arkansas by 10 • 70.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Florida Gulf CoastTEAM STATCentral Arkansas

24-62FG26-60

39.0%FG%43.0%

5-323PT8-25

16.0%3PT%32.0%

10-15FT13-21

67.0%FT%62.0%

40Rebounds41

11Offensive Rebounds10

11Assists13

12Turnovers10

9Steals7

4Blocks2

19Fouls19

Player Box Score

Florida Gulf Coast

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Michael Duax	F	35	6-9	0-0	3-5	8	1	3	0	15
Rahmir Barno	G	38	6-11	0-3	2-2	4	5	2	0	14
Isaiah Malone	F	25	4-7	0-0	3-5	13	2	0	2	11
Jordan Ellerbee	G	34	4-13	2-8	0-0	3	1	1	0	10
J.R. Konieczny	F	32	2-8	1-7	2-2	3	2	1	1	7
Rory Stewart	F	18	1-7	1-7	0-1	4	0	1	1	3
Darren Williams	G	14	1-7	1-7	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Jack Reddick	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Central Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Camren Hunter	G	33	7-19	1-6	8-8	8	3	0	0	23
Ty Robinson	G	27	5-8	1-2	2-4	5	1	3	0	13
Cole McCormick	F	26	5-9	3-6	0-0	4	0	0	0	13
Javion Guy-King	G	28	4-7	1-2	3-4	8	3	1	1	12
Harry Beauchamp	G	15	3-5	2-3	0-0	3	0	1	0	8
Luke Moore	G	32	1-5	0-4	0-3	3	1	2	0	2
Malchiah Marable	F	19	1-3	0-0	0-2	5	3	0	1	2
Truman Byrne	F	13	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	2	0	0	0
Tyler Lee	G	7	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.1Possessions70.1

89.9Offensive Efficiency104.1

104.1Defensive Efficiency89.9

-14.3Net Efficiency14.3

42.7%Effective FG%50.0%

45.6%True Shooting %52.2%

17.1%Turnover Rate14.3%

24.2%Free Throw Rate35.0%

51.6%3-Point Rate41.7%

0.92Assist / Turnover1.30

Game Summary

Central Arkansas won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 70.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.