Northern Arizona

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.1%Northern Arizona

81.9%Idaho State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIdaho State -10.0

PROJECTED TOTAL151.0

MODEL MONEYLINEIdaho State -452

Idaho State

13-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Arizona 70

Projected Total151.0

Projected ScoreIdaho State 80

Team Comparison

Northern ArizonaMetricIdaho State

36.9MMH Power Index45.9

107.1Offensive Efficiency111.0

114.8Defensive Efficiency113.4

-7.7Net Efficiency-2.4

-1.8Strength of Schedule0.2

-16.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.6

66.6Tempo67.1

53.5%Effective FG%52.2%

15.8%Turnover Rate16.5%

24.0%Offensive Rebound %33.9%

33.6%Free Throw Rate39.1%

-5.1Average Margin-1.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Idaho State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIdaho State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.9–36.9), offensive efficiency (111.0–107.1), defensive efficiency (113.4–114.8), net efficiency (-2.4–-7.7).

Northern Arizona COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (53.5–52.2), ball security (15.8–16.5).

Final

Northern Arizona

65—73

Idaho State

Idaho State by 8 • 66.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern ArizonaTEAM STATIdaho State

24-54FG26-61

44.0%FG%43.0%

4-203PT7-18

20.0%3PT%39.0%

13-18FT14-27

72.0%FT%52.0%

26Rebounds45

4Offensive Rebounds20

18Assists11

9Turnovers11

7Steals4

5Blocks1

18Fouls20

Player Box Score

Northern Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Traivar Jackson	F	32	8-12	0-0	3-4	8	1	1	1	19
Diego Campisano	F	31	5-11	2-6	4-5	4	3	1	0	16
Chris Komin	G	36	4-12	0-4	1-2	2	4	2	2	9
Isaiah Shaw	G	26	2-3	1-2	4-5	4	2	0	2	9
Karl Poom	F	12	2-3	1-1	1-2	0	0	0	0	6
Ryan Abelman	G	27	2-5	0-3	0-0	3	3	1	0	4
Oakland Fort	G	21	1-4	0-1	0-0	1	4	0	0	2
Brennan Peterson	G	13	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	1	2	0	0
Arne Osojnik	G	2	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Connor Hollenbeck	F	34	6-10	2-2	3-7	13	4	1	0	17
Louis Bond	G	36	6-13	1-2	0-0	8	1	0	0	13
Martin Kheil	G	36	2-9	2-8	3-5	2	2	0	0	9
Caleb Van De Griend	F	22	2-6	0-0	5-8	5	0	1	0	9
Lachlan Brewer	G	17	4-6	1-2	0-0	3	0	1	0	9
Gus Etchison	PG	14	3-7	1-3	0-0	3	2	0	0	7
Evan Otten	F	13	2-4	0-0	2-4	6	0	0	1	6
Blake Daberkow	F	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
Jamison Guerra	PG	26	0-5	0-1	1-3	1	1	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

66.2Possessions66.2

98.2Offensive Efficiency110.3

110.3Defensive Efficiency98.2

-12.1Net Efficiency12.1

48.1%Effective FG%48.4%

52.0%True Shooting %49.4%

13.3%Turnover Rate17.0%

33.3%Free Throw Rate44.3%

37.0%3-Point Rate29.5%

2.00Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Idaho State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 66.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.