Portland

15-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.9%Portland

79.1%San Francisco

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Francisco -9.6

PROJECTED TOTAL152.5

MODEL MONEYLINESan Francisco -378

San Francisco

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePortland 71

Projected Total152.5

Projected ScoreSan Francisco 81

Team Comparison

PortlandMetricSan Francisco

42.7MMH Power Index50.1

104.8Offensive Efficiency110.4

110.6Defensive Efficiency108.2

-5.8Net Efficiency2.2

1.8Strength of Schedule1.4

-8.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.7

71.0Tempo67.6

52.0%Effective FG%51.9%

19.3%Turnover Rate16.1%

28.7%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

36.9%Free Throw Rate40.5%

-4.1Average Margin1.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

San Francisco HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSan Francisco holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.1–42.7), offensive efficiency (110.4–104.8), defensive efficiency (108.2–110.6), net efficiency (2.2–-5.8).

Portland COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.8–1.4), recent form (-8.1–-8.7), shooting efficiency (52.0–51.9).

Final

Portland

65—82

San Francisco

San Francisco by 17 • 67.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

PortlandTEAM STATSan Francisco

27-59FG27-63

46.0%FG%43.0%

4-183PT9-31

22.0%3PT%29.0%

7-10FT19-28

70.0%FT%68.0%

35Rebounds39

12Offensive Rebounds17

11Assists17

16Turnovers7

4Steals6

—Blocks3

24Fouls18

Player Box Score

Portland

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Joel Foxwell	G	38	6-17	2-9	2-3	2	6	0	16
Jermaine Ballisager Webb	C	25	4-9	0-1	3-4	3	0	0	11
Cameron Williams	F	19	4-6	0-1	1-1	2	0	1	9
Garrett Nuckolls	G	37	4-11	0-2	0-0	4	3	1	8
Mikah Ballew	G	22	3-7	0-3	0-0	2	1	2	6
Matúš Hronský	F	10	2-2	2-2	0-0	1	0	0	6
Dante Censori-Hercules	G	25	2-2	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	4
James O'Donnell	F	19	1-4	0-0	1-2	6	0	0	3
Sam Noland	G	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	2
Kelson Gebbers	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

San Francisco

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
David Fuchs	F	28	8-13	0-2	7-10	16	0	1	0	23
Tyrone Riley IV	G	37	5-11	1-5	7-8	3	4	1	2	18
Ryan Beasley	G	28	3-6	3-5	3-6	7	4	0	0	12
Junjie Wang	F	21	5-13	2-7	0-0	4	0	1	0	12
Legend Smiley	G	33	3-7	1-5	1-2	2	6	3	0	8
Vukasin Masic	G	19	1-3	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Mookie Cook	F	14	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	3	0	0	3
Saba Gigiberia	C	3	1-4	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Guillermo Diaz Graham	F	14	0-3	0-2	1-2	2	0	0	0	1
Weilun Zhao	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Sean Blakely Drummond	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Aidan Braccia	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.1Possessions67.1

96.9Offensive Efficiency122.2

122.2Defensive Efficiency96.9

-25.3Net Efficiency25.3

49.2%Effective FG%50.0%

51.0%True Shooting %53.7%

23.6%Turnover Rate10.6%

16.9%Free Throw Rate44.4%

30.5%3-Point Rate49.2%

0.69Assist / Turnover2.43

Game Summary

San Francisco won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 67.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.