Sacramento State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.2%Sacramento State

83.8%Idaho

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIdaho -12.1

PROJECTED TOTAL158.3

MODEL MONEYLINEIdaho -517

Idaho

21-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSacramento State 73

Projected Total158.3

Projected ScoreIdaho 85

Team Comparison

Sacramento StateMetricIdaho

43MMH Power Index53.2

106.1Offensive Efficiency111.6

112.0Defensive Efficiency104.3

-5.9Net Efficiency7.3

0.9Strength of Schedule-2.4

-7.8Last 10 Net Efficiency4.5

73.2Tempo69.7

48.5%Effective FG%52.8%

14.2%Turnover Rate15.1%

25.1%Offensive Rebound %29.5%

41.8%Free Throw Rate34.6%

-4.3Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Idaho HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIdaho holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.2–43.0), offensive efficiency (111.6–106.1), defensive efficiency (104.3–112.0), net efficiency (7.3–-5.9).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.9–-2.4), ball security (14.2–15.1), free throw rate (41.8–34.6).

Final

Sacramento State

45—68

Idaho

Idaho by 23 • 69.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Sacramento StateTEAM STATIdaho

14-55FG23-65

25.0%FG%35.0%

3-173PT7-33

18.0%3PT%21.0%

14-19FT15-20

74.0%FT%75.0%

34Rebounds51

7Offensive Rebounds14

7Assists10

9Turnovers12

9Steals3

3Blocks6

20Fouls15

Player Box Score

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jahni Summers	G	29	4-7	1-2	1-2	3	0	0	0	10
Arman Madi	G	36	2-8	2-5	3-4	5	2	2	1	9
Prophet Johnson	G	34	3-12	0-2	3-4	4	2	3	0	9
Taj Glover	G	14	2-6	0-2	2-3	3	1	0	0	6
Jayden Teat	G	25	1-6	0-0	2-2	6	2	1	0	4
Romari Robinson	G	22	0-2	0-1	3-4	1	0	1	0	3
Shaqir O'Neal	F	21	1-5	0-2	0-0	3	0	1	2	2
Mark Lavrenov	F	19	1-9	0-3	0-0	6	0	1	0	2

Idaho

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jackson Rasmussen	F	32	7-18	1-4	4-4	3	1	0	2	19
Kolton Mitchell	G	29	6-12	3-9	2-2	8	3	0	0	17
Biko Johnson	G	34	4-12	1-7	1-2	8	2	1	0	10
Seth Joba	F	16	3-4	1-2	1-2	5	0	0	2	8
Isaiah Brickner	G	22	1-8	0-2	4-4	5	2	1	0	6
Brody Rowbury	F	22	1-3	0-1	2-4	7	0	1	1	4
Jack Payne	G	19	1-5	1-5	0-0	5	1	0	1	3
Miles Klapper	G	7	0-0	0-0	1-2	2	1	0	0	1
Trevon Blassingame	G	15	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Aidan Sevilla	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ewan Steele	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.3Possessions69.3

64.9Offensive Efficiency98.1

98.1Defensive Efficiency64.9

-33.2Net Efficiency33.2

28.2%Effective FG%40.8%

35.1%True Shooting %45.6%

13.6%Turnover Rate16.6%

34.5%Free Throw Rate30.8%

30.9%3-Point Rate50.8%

0.78Assist / Turnover0.83

Game Summary

Idaho won by 23 points. The game played at approximately 69.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.