North Dakota

18-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

9.1%North Dakota

90.9%St. Thomas-Minnesota

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSt. Thomas-Minnesota -15.5

PROJECTED TOTAL156.4

MODEL MONEYLINESt. Thomas-Minnesota -999

St. Thomas-Minnesota

24-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota 70

Projected Total156.4

Projected ScoreSt. Thomas-Minnesota 86

Team Comparison

North DakotaMetricSt. Thomas-Minnesota

43.7MMH Power Index59.8

109.2Offensive Efficiency116.8

110.2Defensive Efficiency102.2

-1.0Net Efficiency14.6

-3.4Strength of Schedule-3.6

-7.2Last 10 Net Efficiency14.7

70.1Tempo70.0

50.1%Effective FG%59.2%

14.0%Turnover Rate13.9%

28.9%Offensive Rebound %22.1%

37.5%Free Throw Rate35.2%

-0.7Average Margin10.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. Thomas-Minnesota HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. Thomas-Minnesota holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–43.7), offensive efficiency (116.8–109.2), defensive efficiency (102.2–110.2), net efficiency (14.6–-1.0).

North Dakota COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-3.4–-3.6), offensive rebounding (28.9–22.1), free throw rate (37.5–35.2).

Final

North Dakota

67—66

St. Thomas-Minnesota

North Dakota by 1 • 64.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North DakotaTEAM STATSt. Thomas-Minnesota

22-44FG25-60

50.0%FG%42.0%

7-193PT4-24

37.0%3PT%17.0%

16-26FT12-20

62.0%FT%60.0%

25Rebounds39

1Offensive Rebounds14

9Assists16

9Turnovers9

5Steals6

1Blocks—

20Fouls17

Player Box Score

North Dakota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Greyson Uelmen	G	30	9-11	1-2	9-12	3	1	1	0	28
Eli King	G	39	5-10	3-6	4-6	4	2	1	0	17
Garrett Anderson	G	32	4-10	1-4	2-4	3	1	0	0	11
Reggie Thomas	G	23	2-4	2-4	0-0	3	0	1	0	6
George Natsvlishvili	F	20	1-3	0-0	1-4	7	3	1	0	3
Anthony Smith III	G	12	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Josh Jones	C	20	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	0
Zach Kraft	G	19	0-3	0-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Marley Curtis	F	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

St. Thomas-Minnesota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Nolan Minessale	G	34	8-20	0-2	7-10	9	3	1	23
Ben Oosterbaan	F	33	8-12	0-3	0-1	5	1	0	16
Nick Janowski	G	32	3-12	2-7	0-1	8	1	1	8
Isaiah Johnson-Arigu	F	18	1-2	1-2	5-6	4	2	0	8
Carter Bjerke	F	29	2-6	1-5	0-0	5	0	0	5
Ryan Dufault	G	13	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	2	1	4
Hayden Tibbits	G	8	1-3	0-2	0-2	0	0	0	2
Austin Herro	G	30	0-2	0-2	0-0	5	7	2	0
Jermaine Coleman	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.5Possessions64.5

103.9Offensive Efficiency102.3

102.3Defensive Efficiency103.9

1.6Net Efficiency-1.6

58.0%Effective FG%45.0%

59.4%True Shooting %47.5%

14.0%Turnover Rate14.0%

59.1%Free Throw Rate33.3%

43.2%3-Point Rate40.0%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.78

Game Summary

North Dakota won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 64.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.