Northern Kentucky

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

45.9%Northern Kentucky

54.1%Green Bay

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGreen Bay -0.7

PROJECTED TOTAL158.5

MODEL MONEYLINEGreen Bay -118

Green Bay

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Kentucky 79

Projected Total158.5

Projected ScoreGreen Bay 80

Team Comparison

Northern KentuckyMetricGreen Bay

53.9MMH Power Index50.8

114.9Offensive Efficiency114.0

107.1Defensive Efficiency114.0

7.8Net Efficiency0.0

-2.9Strength of Schedule0.7

4.6Last 10 Net Efficiency5.1

72.3Tempo65.7

54.5%Effective FG%55.4%

16.3%Turnover Rate15.9%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %25.6%

37.1%Free Throw Rate42.4%

5.7Average Margin0.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Kentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.9–50.8), offensive efficiency (114.9–114.0), defensive efficiency (107.1–114.0), net efficiency (7.8–0.0).

Green Bay COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.7–-2.9), recent form (5.1–4.6), shooting efficiency (55.4–54.5).

Final

Northern Kentucky

96—76

Green Bay

Northern Kentucky by 20 • 66.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern KentuckyTEAM STATGreen Bay

33-67FG27-53

49.0%FG%51.0%

14-283PT4-14

50.0%3PT%29.0%

16-21FT18-19

76.0%FT%95.0%

37Rebounds25

15Offensive Rebounds5

23Assists18

4Turnovers9

7Steals1

2Blocks3

16Fouls16

Player Box Score

Northern Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
LJ Wells	F	31	8-12	0-0	10-12	9	4	1	0	26
Kael Robinson	F	33	8-17	5-10	1-2	6	1	0	1	22
Dan Gherezgher	G	29	6-15	5-9	2-2	4	4	1	0	19
Donovan Oday	G	33	6-12	4-7	2-3	4	2	2	0	18
Ethan Elliott	G	34	2-7	0-2	1-2	4	9	1	0	5
Tae Dozier	G	23	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	2	2	1	2
Donovan Rakotonanahary	G	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Ryan Tolliver	G	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Shawn Nelson	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Green Bay

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
C.J. O'Hara	G	38	6-10	0-2	6-6	4	0	0	0	18
Justin Allen	G	31	7-14	1-1	3-4	4	1	0	0	18
Preston Ruedinger	G	38	5-9	1-4	2-2	3	10	0	0	13
Marcus Hall	F	32	3-8	1-3	2-2	2	5	0	0	9
Caden Wilkins	F	21	2-6	1-3	2-2	3	0	0	0	7
Vukasin Todorovic	F	13	1-1	0-0	2-2	1	1	0	1	4
LeBron Thomas	G	9	1-1	0-0	1-1	3	1	0	0	3
Ramel Bethea	F	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	2	2
Mac Wrecke	G	7	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

66.0Possessions66.0

145.5Offensive Efficiency115.2

115.2Defensive Efficiency145.5

30.3Net Efficiency-30.3

59.7%Effective FG%54.7%

62.4%True Shooting %61.3%

6.1%Turnover Rate13.6%

31.3%Free Throw Rate35.8%

41.8%3-Point Rate26.4%

5.75Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Northern Kentucky won by 20 points. The game played at approximately 66.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.