Western Carolina

15-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.9%Western Carolina

73.1%East Tennessee State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADEast Tennessee State -8.4

PROJECTED TOTAL153.7

MODEL MONEYLINEEast Tennessee State -272

East Tennessee State

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWestern Carolina 73

Projected Total153.7

Projected ScoreEast Tennessee State 81

Team Comparison

Western CarolinaMetricEast Tennessee State

53MMH Power Index57.4

112.6Offensive Efficiency115.1

111.0Defensive Efficiency102.8

1.6Net Efficiency12.3

-0.9Strength of Schedule-1.6

13.1Last 10 Net Efficiency3.7

69.7Tempo67.4

51.1%Effective FG%55.4%

16.4%Turnover Rate15.1%

36.1%Offensive Rebound %28.8%

30.8%Free Throw Rate35.0%

1.1Average Margin8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

East Tennessee State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMEast Tennessee State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.4–53.0), offensive efficiency (115.1–112.6), defensive efficiency (102.8–111.0), net efficiency (12.3–1.6).

Western Carolina COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.9–-1.6), recent form (13.1–3.7), offensive rebounding (36.1–28.8).

Final

Western Carolina

67—69

East Tennessee State

East Tennessee State by 2 • 65.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Western CarolinaTEAM STATEast Tennessee State

20-53FG24-51

38.0%FG%47.0%

8-283PT8-23

29.0%3PT%35.0%

19-25FT13-21

76.0%FT%62.0%

37Rebounds29

13Offensive Rebounds7

9Assists10

14Turnovers11

7Steals8

1Blocks4

16Fouls15

Player Box Score

Western Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Kell	F	31	6-13	0-6	6-10	3	1	1	0	18
Cord Stansberry	G	31	3-11	2-5	8-8	7	2	1	0	16
Tidjiane Dioumassi	G	28	4-12	2-7	4-5	2	1	1	0	14
Tahlan Pettway	G	36	3-7	2-4	1-2	5	1	1	0	9
Julien Soumaoro	G	15	2-5	2-5	0-0	0	0	1	0	6
Abdulai Fanta Kabba	C	13	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	0	2
Justin Johnson	G	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	5	2	0	1	2
Samuel Dada	F	27	0-1	0-0	0-0	6	2	1	0	0
Tayeshaun Smith	F	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

East Tennessee State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brian Taylor II	G	40	8-16	4-9	2-3	0	2	0	0	22
Blake Barkley	F	31	6-11	1-5	6-8	8	0	0	1	19
Jaylen Smith	G	36	5-10	1-3	2-2	3	3	1	0	13
Jordan McCullum	F	29	4-7	1-1	2-2	6	1	1	2	11
Isaiah Sutherland	F	10	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Cam Morris III	F	22	0-1	0-0	1-4	6	3	1	1	1
Maki Johnson	G	21	0-2	0-2	0-2	4	1	2	0	0
Allen Strothers	G	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	3	0	0
Milton Matthews III	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.5Possessions65.5

102.3Offensive Efficiency105.3

105.3Defensive Efficiency102.3

-3.1Net Efficiency3.1

45.3%Effective FG%54.9%

51.6%True Shooting %56.6%

21.3%Turnover Rate16.9%

47.2%Free Throw Rate41.2%

52.8%3-Point Rate45.1%

0.64Assist / Turnover0.91

Game Summary

East Tennessee State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 65.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.