Southern Miss

19-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

27.3%Southern Miss

72.7%Troy

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTroy -7.7

PROJECTED TOTAL152.6

MODEL MONEYLINETroy -266

Troy

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern Miss 72

Projected Total152.6

Projected ScoreTroy 80

Team Comparison

Southern MissMetricTroy

49.9MMH Power Index54.1

106.1Offensive Efficiency112.6

104.9Defensive Efficiency103.9

1.2Net Efficiency8.7

-0.2Strength of Schedule-2.2

3.8Last 10 Net Efficiency2.0

70.4Tempo70.4

49.9%Effective FG%52.1%

18.4%Turnover Rate17.1%

32.3%Offensive Rebound %35.3%

43.9%Free Throw Rate36.8%

0.9Average Margin6.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Troy HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTroy holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.1–49.9), offensive efficiency (112.6–106.1), defensive efficiency (103.9–104.9), net efficiency (8.7–1.2).

Southern Miss COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.2–-2.2), recent form (3.8–2.0), free throw rate (43.9–36.8).

Final

Southern Miss

70—78

Troy

Troy by 8 • 71.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southern MissTEAM STATTroy

28-69FG22-50

41.0%FG%44.0%

2-193PT3-17

11.0%3PT%18.0%

12-20FT31-38

60.0%FT%82.0%

38Rebounds39

19Offensive Rebounds13

13Assists12

12Turnovers16

8Steals8

3Blocks8

25Fouls19

Player Box Score

Southern Miss

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaac Taveras	G	36	12-16	0-0	8-13	9	3	4	0	32
Tylik Weeks	F	37	6-18	2-5	1-2	2	1	0	1	15
Djahi Binet	F	31	6-8	0-0	2-3	7	0	1	1	14
Dylan Brumfield	G	33	4-10	0-1	1-1	6	5	0	0	9
Israel Hart	G	25	0-9	0-7	0-0	0	3	0	0	0
Chiante' Tramble	G	13	0-5	0-3	0-0	1	1	2	0	0
Curt Lewis	G	10	0-3	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Tegra Izay	C	8	0-0	0-0	0-1	2	0	1	1	0
Dalyn Brandon	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Brewer Carruth	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Troy

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jerrell Bellamy	C	36	9-14	0-1	4-5	4	0	3	6	22
Cooper Campbell	G	35	3-8	1-4	7-8	3	2	1	0	14
Victor Valdes	F	25	3-10	0-3	7-9	5	5	2	0	13
Thomas Dowd	F	39	1-7	0-3	10-12	8	2	0	2	12
Cobi Campbell	G	30	3-4	2-3	0-0	3	2	0	0	8
Kerrington Kiel	F	17	1-2	0-0	3-4	5	1	1	0	5
Austin Cross	G	15	2-5	0-3	0-0	2	0	1	0	4
Evan Griffin	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.3Possessions71.3

98.2Offensive Efficiency109.4

109.4Defensive Efficiency98.2

-11.2Net Efficiency11.2

42.0%Effective FG%47.0%

44.6%True Shooting %57.3%

16.8%Turnover Rate22.5%

29.0%Free Throw Rate76.0%

27.5%3-Point Rate34.0%

1.08Assist / Turnover0.75

Game Summary

Troy won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 71.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.