Idaho State

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

27.1%Idaho State

72.9%Portland State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPortland State -8.5

PROJECTED TOTAL150.6

MODEL MONEYLINEPortland State -269

Portland State

20-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIdaho State 71

Projected Total150.6

Projected ScorePortland State 80

Team Comparison

Idaho StateMetricPortland State

45.9MMH Power Index50.2

111.0Offensive Efficiency109.3

113.4Defensive Efficiency100.2

-2.4Net Efficiency9.1

0.2Strength of Schedule-5.6

-9.6Last 10 Net Efficiency0.4

67.1Tempo70.1

52.2%Effective FG%51.7%

16.5%Turnover Rate16.6%

33.9%Offensive Rebound %31.6%

39.1%Free Throw Rate36.8%

-1.6Average Margin6.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Idaho State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIdaho State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (111.0–109.3), strength of schedule (0.2–-5.6), shooting efficiency (52.2–51.7), ball security (16.5–16.6).

Portland State COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (50.2–45.9), defensive efficiency (100.2–113.4), net efficiency (9.1–-2.4).

Final

Idaho State

78—85

Portland State

Portland State by 7 • 73.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Idaho StateTEAM STATPortland State

26-57FG24-54

46.0%FG%44.0%

7-233PT5-15

30.0%3PT%33.0%

19-28FT32-48

68.0%FT%67.0%

37Rebounds33

9Offensive Rebounds7

11Assists10

12Turnovers4

3Steals9

4Blocks2

30Fouls25

Player Box Score

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Gus Etchison	PG	20	6-13	3-7	5-8	1	4	0	0	20
Caleb Van De Griend	F	18	6-8	2-2	0-0	8	1	0	0	14
Louis Bond	G	39	5-9	1-3	2-2	10	0	0	2	13
Connor Hollenbeck	F	31	2-6	0-3	4-6	3	1	1	0	8
Lachlan Brewer	G	16	2-3	0-1	2-4	1	0	0	0	6
Evan Otten	F	13	2-4	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	1	6
Martin Kheil	G	34	1-5	1-5	2-2	3	1	1	0	5
Blake Daberkow	F	9	1-3	0-0	2-4	1	0	0	1	4
Jamison Guerra	PG	20	1-5	0-2	0-0	2	4	1	0	2
Cheikh Sow	G	0	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Portland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terri Miller Jr.	F	33	11-24	4-7	5-7	10	4	1	1	31
Jaylin Henderson	G	40	5-8	0-0	10-14	2	3	2	0	20
Isaiah Williams	G	37	3-9	0-4	10-14	3	3	6	0	16
Alex Dupre	G	23	2-4	1-2	4-5	4	0	0	0	9
Tre-Vaughn Minott	C	17	2-3	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	0	4
Brycen Long	G	10	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Charles Chukwu	F	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Kelcy Phipps	G	20	0-2	0-0	1-4	6	0	0	1	1
Sebastian Tidor	G	15	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.6Possessions73.6

106.0Offensive Efficiency115.5

115.5Defensive Efficiency106.0

-9.5Net Efficiency9.5

51.8%Effective FG%49.1%

55.5%True Shooting %55.3%

16.4%Turnover Rate5.4%

49.1%Free Throw Rate88.9%

40.4%3-Point Rate27.8%

0.92Assist / Turnover2.50

Game Summary

Portland State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 73.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.