Fairfield

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.5%Fairfield

71.5%Siena

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSiena -6.6

PROJECTED TOTAL140.7

MODEL MONEYLINESiena -251

Siena

23-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFairfield 67

Projected Total140.7

Projected ScoreSiena 74

Team Comparison

FairfieldMetricSiena

50.1MMH Power Index53.8

109.6Offensive Efficiency109.2

105.4Defensive Efficiency102.2

4.2Net Efficiency7.0

-3.4Strength of Schedule-0.5

3.3Last 10 Net Efficiency3.0

67.8Tempo64.4

49.1%Effective FG%50.7%

15.0%Turnover Rate15.8%

36.0%Offensive Rebound %31.4%

28.4%Free Throw Rate34.9%

2.8Average Margin4.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Siena HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSiena holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.8–50.1), defensive efficiency (102.2–105.4), net efficiency (7.0–4.2), strength of schedule (-0.5–-3.4).

Fairfield COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.6–109.2), recent form (3.3–3.0), ball security (15.0–15.8).

Final

Fairfield

61—76

Siena

Siena by 15 • 63.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

FairfieldTEAM STATSiena

25-69FG24-52

36.0%FG%46.0%

6-233PT9-17

26.0%3PT%53.0%

5-5FT19-26

100.0%FT%73.0%

34Rebounds41

13Offensive Rebounds10

12Assists18

5Turnovers10

6Steals3

5Blocks4

19Fouls10

Player Box Score

Fairfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Braden Sparks	G	37	6-17	1-6	0-0	1	5	1	0	13
Declan Wucherpfennig	G	36	4-7	1-2	4-4	10	3	1	1	13
Tony Williams	G	29	5-13	2-6	0-0	3	1	3	0	12
Brandon Benjamin	F	36	5-13	0-0	0-0	12	0	0	2	10
Deuce Turner	G	18	2-7	2-4	0-0	1	1	0	0	6
Eric Mejia	G	21	2-8	0-2	1-1	3	1	0	0	5
Halon Rawlins	G	15	1-4	0-3	0-0	1	1	1	1	2
Isaac Munkadi	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	0
Ryan Zan	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Siena

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Justice Shoats	G	40	8-15	3-3	7-11	3	4	1	1	26
Gavin Doty	G	40	6-11	3-4	10-11	8	1	0	0	25
Francis Folefac	F	36	4-14	0-2	2-4	9	5	1	2	10
Isaiah Henderson	F	14	2-3	2-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	6
Brendan Coyle	F	29	2-5	1-4	0-0	7	1	0	0	5
Riley Mulvey	C	30	2-2	0-0	0-0	9	4	1	1	4
Christian Jones	G	11	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.9Possessions63.9

95.5Offensive Efficiency118.9

118.9Defensive Efficiency95.5

-23.5Net Efficiency23.5

40.6%Effective FG%54.8%

42.7%True Shooting %59.1%

7.9%Turnover Rate15.5%

7.2%Free Throw Rate50.0%

33.3%3-Point Rate32.7%

2.40Assist / Turnover1.80

Game Summary

Siena won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 63.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.