Idaho

21-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.5%Idaho

63.5%Montana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana State -4.6

PROJECTED TOTAL151.9

MODEL MONEYLINEMontana State -174

Montana State

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIdaho 74

Projected Total151.9

Projected ScoreMontana State 78

Team Comparison

IdahoMetricMontana State

53.2MMH Power Index53.6

111.6Offensive Efficiency114.4

104.3Defensive Efficiency104.9

7.3Net Efficiency9.5

-2.4Strength of Schedule-3.7

4.5Last 10 Net Efficiency4.9

69.7Tempo68.1

52.8%Effective FG%55.1%

15.1%Turnover Rate14.7%

29.5%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

34.6%Free Throw Rate30.7%

5.1Average Margin6.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–53.2), offensive efficiency (114.4–111.6), net efficiency (9.5–7.3), recent form (4.9–4.5).

Idaho COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.3–104.9), strength of schedule (-2.4–-3.7), offensive rebounding (29.5–28.1).

Final

Idaho

78—74

Montana State

Idaho by 4 • 67.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IdahoTEAM STATMontana State

31-55FG29-65

56.0%FG%45.0%

4-163PT11-24

25.0%3PT%46.0%

12-18FT5-9

67.0%FT%56.0%

34Rebounds31

4Offensive Rebounds8

9Assists12

8Turnovers6

1Steals4

3Blocks2

9Fouls18

Player Box Score

Idaho

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Biko Johnson	G	36	7-12	1-5	4-5	5	4	0	0	19
Isaiah Brickner	G	24	6-11	0-2	3-5	7	1	0	1	15
Jackson Rasmussen	F	32	5-7	1-1	0-0	5	1	0	0	11
Miles Klapper	G	21	4-6	0-1	3-4	4	0	0	0	11
Trevon Blassingame	G	16	3-3	2-2	0-0	0	0	1	2	8
Brody Rowbury	F	28	3-4	0-1	0-2	5	1	0	0	6
Kolton Mitchell	G	21	1-6	0-1	2-2	1	2	0	0	4
Seth Joba	F	11	1-4	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Jack Payne	G	11	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jeremiah Davis	G	35	9-10	4-5	0-0	6	2	2	1	22
Christian King	F	38	9-13	3-5	0-0	5	0	0	0	21
Jed Miller	G	38	6-15	2-7	4-5	5	1	0	0	18
Patrick McMahon	G	22	3-12	1-2	1-2	5	2	0	0	8
Howie Keene	G	20	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	2	1	0	3
Jaden Steppe	F	18	1-7	0-3	0-2	4	4	1	1	2
Chris Hodges	F	16	0-3	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Seth Amunrud	G	13	0-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.4Possessions67.4

115.7Offensive Efficiency109.8

109.8Defensive Efficiency115.7

5.9Net Efficiency-5.9

60.0%Effective FG%53.1%

61.4%True Shooting %53.4%

11.8%Turnover Rate8.9%

32.7%Free Throw Rate13.8%

29.1%3-Point Rate36.9%

1.13Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Idaho won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 67.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.