Northern Kentucky

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.6%Northern Kentucky

70.4%Wright State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWright State -6.0

PROJECTED TOTAL161.2

MODEL MONEYLINEWright State -238

Wright State

23-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Kentucky 78

Projected Total161.2

Projected ScoreWright State 84

Team Comparison

Northern KentuckyMetricWright State

53.9MMH Power Index57.1

114.9Offensive Efficiency116.4

107.1Defensive Efficiency106.5

7.8Net Efficiency9.9

-2.9Strength of Schedule-2.0

4.6Last 10 Net Efficiency7.0

72.3Tempo69.2

54.5%Effective FG%55.2%

16.3%Turnover Rate16.1%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %33.9%

37.1%Free Throw Rate38.3%

5.7Average Margin6.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Wright State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWright State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.1–53.9), offensive efficiency (116.4–114.9), defensive efficiency (106.5–107.1), net efficiency (9.9–7.8).

Final

Northern Kentucky

90—103

Wright State

Wright State by 13 • 78.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern KentuckyTEAM STATWright State

29-64FG33-59

45.0%FG%56.0%

9-233PT9-21

39.0%3PT%43.0%

23-30FT28-33

77.0%FT%85.0%

36Rebounds31

15Offensive Rebounds6

16Assists17

15Turnovers10

6Steals10

4Blocks4

23Fouls23

Player Box Score

Northern Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kael Robinson	F	31	6-11	4-6	8-10	4	0	0	1	24
LJ Wells	F	35	9-16	0-2	5-8	6	0	1	1	23
Donovan Oday	G	31	6-15	2-7	1-2	4	2	3	0	15
Dan Gherezgher	G	24	3-9	2-5	4-4	4	4	1	0	12
Tae Dozier	G	31	1-4	1-2	4-4	7	3	0	1	7
Donovan Rakotonanahary	G	9	3-3	0-0	1-1	1	0	0	0	7
Ethan Elliott	G	32	1-6	0-1	0-1	3	7	1	1	2
Ryan Tolliver	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Shawn Nelson	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Wright State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Michael Cooper	G	25	8-13	3-6	6-6	3	3	0	0	25
TJ Burch	G	27	7-16	2-5	6-6	3	3	2	2	22
Kellen Pickett	F	33	6-8	0-1	2-2	4	2	1	1	14
Solomon Callaghan	G	24	2-6	2-6	7-8	0	2	1	0	13
Dominic Pangonis	G	30	4-5	2-2	2-4	2	1	3	0	12
Michael Imariagbe	F	25	3-3	0-0	2-4	10	2	0	0	8
Logan Woods	G	17	1-2	0-1	3-3	1	1	0	0	5
Andrea Holden	F	15	2-5	0-0	0-0	6	3	1	1	4
Sam Alamutu	G	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	2	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

78.5Possessions78.5

114.6Offensive Efficiency131.2

131.2Defensive Efficiency114.6

-16.6Net Efficiency16.6

52.3%Effective FG%63.6%

57.5%True Shooting %69.0%

19.2%Turnover Rate12.7%

46.9%Free Throw Rate55.9%

35.9%3-Point Rate35.6%

1.07Assist / Turnover1.70

Game Summary

Wright State won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 78.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.