Northern Colorado

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

60.2%Northern Colorado

39.8%Montana

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Colorado -1.0

PROJECTED TOTAL158.8

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Colorado -151

Montana

18-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Colorado 80

Projected Total158.8

Projected ScoreMontana 79

Team Comparison

Northern ColoradoMetricMontana

53.7MMH Power Index45.4

116.0Offensive Efficiency108.6

107.6Defensive Efficiency104.8

8.4Net Efficiency3.8

-4.3Strength of Schedule-2.4

10.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.5

71.1Tempo71.2

56.9%Effective FG%56.3%

15.3%Turnover Rate19.2%

27.9%Offensive Rebound %21.9%

27.8%Free Throw Rate37.7%

6.0Average Margin2.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Colorado HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Colorado holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–45.4), offensive efficiency (116.0–108.6), net efficiency (8.4–3.8), recent form (10.8–-6.5).

Montana COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.8–107.6), strength of schedule (-2.4–-4.3), free throw rate (37.7–27.8).

Final

Northern Colorado

89—95

Montana

Montana by 6 • 74.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern ColoradoTEAM STATMontana

32-71FG31-58

45.0%FG%53.0%

8-263PT8-21

31.0%3PT%38.0%

17-23FT25-30

74.0%FT%83.0%

34Rebounds36

11Offensive Rebounds7

15Assists11

4Turnovers9

3Steals2

1Blocks1

19Fouls16

Player Box Score

Northern Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quinn Denker	G	40	9-23	1-4	10-12	4	8	0	0	29
Ibu Yamazaki	F	31	5-12	3-10	3-3	4	1	1	0	16
Brock Wisne	F	35	7-13	0-1	1-4	11	3	0	0	15
Ring Nyeri	F	34	5-10	1-3	1-2	9	0	0	1	12
Zach Bloch	G	38	2-7	2-7	2-2	1	3	2	0	8
Egan Shields	C	11	2-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Ariik Mawien	G	3	1-1	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Vincent Delano	G	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2

Montana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Money Williams	G	35	10-21	2-5	18-19	7	3	0	0	40
Tyler Thompson	G	33	5-8	3-6	1-2	5	1	0	0	14
Kenyon Aguino	F	28	5-8	0-1	2-2	8	1	0	0	12
Te'Jon Sawyer	F	29	4-9	1-4	2-2	3	2	1	1	11
Grant Kepley	G	20	4-4	1-1	2-4	4	1	0	0	11
Brooklyn Hicks	G	27	2-7	1-4	0-1	2	2	0	0	5
Trae Taylor	F	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Tyler Isaak	G	16	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.6Possessions74.6

119.3Offensive Efficiency127.3

127.3Defensive Efficiency119.3

-8.0Net Efficiency8.0

50.7%Effective FG%60.3%

54.3%True Shooting %65.7%

5.3%Turnover Rate12.1%

32.4%Free Throw Rate51.7%

36.6%3-Point Rate36.2%

3.75Assist / Turnover1.22

Game Summary

Montana won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 74.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.