Siena

23-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.8%Siena

62.2%Merrimack

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMerrimack -3.4

PROJECTED TOTAL134.0

MODEL MONEYLINEMerrimack -165

Merrimack

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSiena 65

Projected Total134.0

Projected ScoreMerrimack 69

Team Comparison

SienaMetricMerrimack

53.8MMH Power Index53.7

109.2Offensive Efficiency106.4

102.2Defensive Efficiency103.2

7.0Net Efficiency3.2

-0.5Strength of Schedule0.7

3.0Last 10 Net Efficiency12.9

64.4Tempo64.4

50.7%Effective FG%49.3%

15.8%Turnover Rate14.8%

31.4%Offensive Rebound %24.7%

34.9%Free Throw Rate39.5%

4.5Average Margin2.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Siena HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSiena holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.8–53.7), offensive efficiency (109.2–106.4), defensive efficiency (102.2–103.2), net efficiency (7.0–3.2).

Merrimack COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.7–-0.5), recent form (12.9–3.0), ball security (14.8–15.8).

Final

Siena

64—54

Merrimack

Siena by 10 • 63.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

SienaTEAM STATMerrimack

21-55FG17-58

38.0%FG%29.0%

4-163PT10-31

25.0%3PT%32.0%

18-21FT10-13

86.0%FT%77.0%

50Rebounds26

15Offensive Rebounds7

13Assists9

14Turnovers6

2Steals8

10Blocks11

11Fouls16

Player Box Score

Siena

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Gavin Doty	G	38	7-17	2-6	7-8	8	2	1	1	23
Riley Mulvey	C	40	4-5	0-0	3-3	11	1	0	5	11
Brendan Coyle	F	38	2-7	2-7	5-5	10	2	1	2	11
Francis Folefac	F	40	4-16	0-0	2-3	8	5	0	2	10
Justice Shoats	G	38	4-10	0-3	1-2	8	3	0	0	9
Christian Jones	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Merrimack

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ernest Shelton	G	40	4-13	3-12	6-7	3	0	1	3	17
Kevair Kennedy	G	38	5-18	1-4	4-4	5	4	1	0	15
Todd Brogna	F	34	4-8	4-7	0-0	1	1	3	2	12
Tye Dorset	G	26	3-9	1-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	7
Andrés Marrero	G	31	1-5	1-5	0-0	4	1	1	0	3
KC Ugwuakazi	F	30	0-5	0-0	0-2	7	2	2	6	0
Dylan Veillette	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.6Possessions63.6

100.6Offensive Efficiency84.9

84.9Defensive Efficiency100.6

15.7Net Efficiency-15.7

41.8%Effective FG%37.9%

49.2%True Shooting %42.1%

21.9%Turnover Rate9.5%

38.2%Free Throw Rate22.4%

29.1%3-Point Rate53.4%

0.93Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Siena won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 63.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.