Baylor

16-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

59.2%Baylor

40.8%Arizona State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBaylor -1.9

PROJECTED TOTAL159.7

MODEL MONEYLINEBaylor -145

Arizona State

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBaylor 81

Projected Total159.7

Projected ScoreArizona State 79

Team Comparison

BaylorMetricArizona State

58.9MMH Power Index51

116.7Offensive Efficiency108.1

109.5Defensive Efficiency110.9

7.2Net Efficiency-2.8

4.0Strength of Schedule7.0

-2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.5

69.7Tempo70.6

54.4%Effective FG%51.3%

16.4%Turnover Rate17.1%

37.5%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

34.8%Free Throw Rate40.2%

5.1Average Margin-1.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Baylor HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBaylor holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.9–51.0), offensive efficiency (116.7–108.1), defensive efficiency (109.5–110.9), net efficiency (7.2–-2.8).

Arizona State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.0–4.0), free throw rate (40.2–34.8).

Final

Baylor

77—83

Arizona State

Arizona State by 6 • 70.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BaylorTEAM STATArizona State

28-67FG31-54

42.0%FG%57.0%

8-333PT8-22

24.0%3PT%36.0%

13-17FT13-22

76.0%FT%59.0%

36Rebounds33

16Offensive Rebounds9

12Assists11

12Turnovers15

9Steals9

2Blocks2

20Fouls14

Player Box Score

Baylor

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cameron Carr	G	31	6-17	5-14	8-9	7	1	2	0	25
Isaac Williams IV	G	32	6-12	2-3	1-2	6	4	3	1	15
Tounde Yessoufou	G	35	6-16	0-7	2-4	6	2	1	1	14
Caden Powell	C	31	5-5	0-0	0-0	5	0	1	0	10
Dan Skillings Jr.	G	26	4-7	0-1	2-2	4	2	1	0	10
Obi Agbim	G	35	1-9	1-7	0-0	1	3	1	0	3
Michael Rataj	G	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
James Nnaji	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Arizona State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Anthony Johnson	G	28	7-14	2-5	3-6	6	2	0	1	19
Andrija Grbovic	F	19	6-7	2-3	0-0	3	0	1	1	14
Santiago Trouet	F	29	5-7	0-0	3-4	9	1	0	0	13
Noah Meeusen	G	30	4-6	3-5	1-2	3	3	2	0	12
Massamba Diop	C	33	4-8	0-3	3-6	3	1	0	0	11
Maurice Odum	G	29	3-8	0-4	3-4	4	2	3	0	9
Bryce Ford	G	16	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	2	1	0	3
Trevor Best	G	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Allen Mukeba	F	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	2	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.8Possessions70.8

108.8Offensive Efficiency117.2

117.2Defensive Efficiency108.8

-8.5Net Efficiency8.5

47.8%Effective FG%64.8%

51.3%True Shooting %64.4%

16.9%Turnover Rate21.3%

25.4%Free Throw Rate40.7%

49.3%3-Point Rate40.7%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.73

Game Summary

Arizona State won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 70.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.