Missouri State

16-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.4%Missouri State

60.6%Florida International

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFlorida International -4.2

PROJECTED TOTAL156.6

MODEL MONEYLINEFlorida International -154

Florida International

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMissouri State 76

Projected Total156.6

Projected ScoreFlorida International 80

Team Comparison

Missouri StateMetricFlorida International

51.1MMH Power Index50.4

110.5Offensive Efficiency109.6

108.4Defensive Efficiency105.9

2.1Net Efficiency3.7

0.5Strength of Schedule-1.5

-2.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.9

67.9Tempo73.6

51.8%Effective FG%51.6%

16.4%Turnover Rate17.7%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %35.1%

42.9%Free Throw Rate40.1%

1.4Average Margin2.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Missouri State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMissouri State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.1–50.4), offensive efficiency (110.5–109.6), strength of schedule (0.5–-1.5), shooting efficiency (51.8–51.6).

Florida International COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (105.9–108.4), net efficiency (3.7–2.1), recent form (-0.9–-2.1).

Final

Missouri State

75—72

Florida International

Missouri State by 3 • 65.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Missouri StateTEAM STATFlorida International

26-49FG26-55

53.0%FG%47.0%

11-263PT3-14

42.0%3PT%21.0%

12-22FT17-27

55.0%FT%63.0%

27Rebounds38

7Offensive Rebounds16

18Assists6

12Turnovers14

11Steals6

3Blocks2

16Fouls17

Player Box Score

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kobi Williams	G	36	6-11	3-7	0-2	0	2	1	0	15
Trey Williams Jr.	G	37	4-7	2-5	3-4	4	7	2	0	13
Keith Palek III	F	34	4-11	1-6	4-10	4	8	1	0	13
Zaxton King	G	24	4-5	4-5	1-2	1	0	1	0	13
Michael Osei-Bonsu	F	34	4-6	0-0	0-0	5	0	3	3	8
Melakih Cunningham	G	18	2-6	1-3	2-2	6	0	2	0	7
Darrion Sutton	F	6	1-1	0-0	2-2	1	1	1	0	4
Tyrique Brooks	G	6	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Cameron Boone	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Florida International

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Corey Stephenson	G	37	9-15	2-6	4-6	10	1	0	0	24
Zawdie Jackson	G	35	5-8	0-1	9-10	2	1	0	0	19
Hamed Olayinka	F	25	5-9	0-0	0-0	7	2	2	0	10
Eric Dibami	F	36	4-10	0-1	1-8	13	2	1	2	9
Julian Mackey	G	29	2-9	1-6	3-3	2	0	1	0	8
Ibrahim Olajuwon	F	16	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	2	0	2
Brit Harris	G	15	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Thiago Sucatzky	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Ashton Williamson	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.2Possessions65.2

115.0Offensive Efficiency110.4

110.4Defensive Efficiency115.0

4.6Net Efficiency-4.6

64.3%Effective FG%50.0%

63.1%True Shooting %53.1%

18.6%Turnover Rate21.3%

44.9%Free Throw Rate49.1%

53.1%3-Point Rate25.5%

1.50Assist / Turnover0.43

Game Summary

Missouri State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 65.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.