New Mexico State

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.5%New Mexico State

62.5%Jacksonville State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADJacksonville State -4.1

PROJECTED TOTAL144.6

MODEL MONEYLINEJacksonville State -167

Jacksonville State

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNew Mexico State 70

Projected Total144.6

Projected ScoreJacksonville State 74

Team Comparison

New Mexico StateMetricJacksonville State

51.2MMH Power Index51.2

108.9Offensive Efficiency108.2

104.5Defensive Efficiency101.8

4.4Net Efficiency6.4

-0.7Strength of Schedule-2.3

-2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.3

68.9Tempo67.2

48.6%Effective FG%51.0%

15.2%Turnover Rate17.0%

33.1%Offensive Rebound %31.3%

37.0%Free Throw Rate44.5%

3.1Average Margin4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Jacksonville State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMJacksonville State holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (101.8–104.5), net efficiency (6.4–4.4), recent form (-0.3–-2.0), shooting efficiency (51.0–48.6).

New Mexico State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (108.9–108.2), strength of schedule (-0.7–-2.3), ball security (15.2–17.0).

Final

New Mexico State

68—63

Jacksonville State

New Mexico State by 5 • 64.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

New Mexico StateTEAM STATJacksonville State

21-56FG22-48

38.0%FG%46.0%

8-183PT6-20

44.0%3PT%30.0%

18-23FT13-20

78.0%FT%65.0%

35Rebounds34

12Offensive Rebounds7

7Assists10

10Turnovers13

9Steals8

1Blocks4

17Fouls17

Player Box Score

New Mexico State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jemel Jones	G	33	5-16	2-4	5-5	3	3	1	0	17
Gabe Pickens	G	28	6-8	3-3	1-3	2	1	1	0	16
Jae'Coby Osborne	F	30	4-8	0-0	0-0	4	0	3	0	8
Jayland Randall	G	18	1-5	1-3	4-4	4	1	0	0	7
Anthony Wrzeszcz	G	24	1-6	1-5	2-2	5	0	0	1	5
Chris Terrell	G	15	2-5	1-2	0-1	2	0	1	0	5
Elijah Elliott	G	11	1-5	0-1	3-4	2	2	1	0	5
Julius Mims	F	27	1-1	0-0	1-2	5	0	2	0	3
Kyrese Mullen	F	14	0-2	0-0	2-2	5	0	0	0	2

Jacksonville State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mostapha El Moutaouakkil	G	36	9-14	2-3	3-7	11	1	2	3	23
Jacoby Hill	G	30	4-5	1-1	2-2	1	4	1	0	11
AC Bryant	G	25	3-11	3-10	0-1	0	0	0	0	9
Emondrek Erkins-Ford	F	25	2-4	0-1	4-6	4	1	2	1	8
Jaye Nash	G	36	2-6	0-2	2-2	3	4	1	0	6
Marcus Fitzgerald Jr.	G	15	1-2	0-1	2-2	4	0	0	0	4
Jamar Franklin	G	14	1-4	0-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Iaroslav Niagu	F	17	0-1	0-0	0-0	6	0	1	0	0
Aitor Anabitarte	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.2Possessions64.2

105.9Offensive Efficiency98.1

98.1Defensive Efficiency105.9

7.8Net Efficiency-7.8

44.6%Effective FG%52.1%

50.8%True Shooting %54.8%

15.4%Turnover Rate20.5%

41.1%Free Throw Rate41.7%

32.1%3-Point Rate41.7%

0.70Assist / Turnover0.77

Game Summary

New Mexico State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 64.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.