Montana

18-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.0%Montana

74.0%Portland State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPortland State -7.6

PROJECTED TOTAL151.2

MODEL MONEYLINEPortland State -285

Portland State

20-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMontana 72

Projected Total151.2

Projected ScorePortland State 79

Team Comparison

MontanaMetricPortland State

45.4MMH Power Index50.2

108.6Offensive Efficiency109.3

104.8Defensive Efficiency100.2

3.8Net Efficiency9.1

-2.4Strength of Schedule-5.6

-6.5Last 10 Net Efficiency0.4

71.2Tempo70.1

56.3%Effective FG%51.7%

19.2%Turnover Rate16.6%

21.9%Offensive Rebound %31.6%

37.7%Free Throw Rate36.8%

2.7Average Margin6.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Portland State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPortland State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.2–45.4), offensive efficiency (109.3–108.6), defensive efficiency (100.2–104.8), net efficiency (9.1–3.8).

Montana COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.4–-5.6), shooting efficiency (56.3–51.7), free throw rate (37.7–36.8).

Final

Montana

75—72

Portland State

Montana by 3 • 73.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MontanaTEAM STATPortland State

24-47FG22-70

51.0%FG%31.0%

11-253PT4-28

44.0%3PT%14.0%

16-22FT24-27

73.0%FT%89.0%

34Rebounds37

3Offensive Rebounds15

11Assists7

18Turnovers7

3Steals6

1Blocks2

20Fouls17

Player Box Score

Montana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Money Williams	G	30	11-18	4-9	6-8	6	0	1	0	32
Brooklyn Hicks	G	16	4-6	4-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	12
Tyler Isaak	G	23	3-4	0-1	4-6	4	3	0	0	10
Te'Jon Sawyer	F	35	2-7	2-6	0-0	9	0	0	0	6
Grant Kepley	G	22	2-5	0-1	0-0	3	4	0	0	4
Tyler Thompson	G	31	1-4	1-3	0-0	2	3	1	0	3
Kenyon Aguino	F	22	1-2	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	3
Chase Henderson	G	3	0-1	0-1	3-4	0	0	0	0	3
Trae Taylor	F	18	0-0	0-0	2-2	3	1	1	1	2

Portland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylin Henderson	G	40	7-21	0-3	9-9	6	4	1	0	23
Kelcy Phipps	G	21	4-9	2-4	4-6	1	1	2	0	14
Terri Miller Jr.	F	32	5-14	0-6	2-2	3	0	0	0	12
Brycen Long	G	13	1-5	1-5	6-6	4	0	0	0	9
Isaiah Williams	G	30	2-5	1-4	2-2	1	0	2	0	7
Sebastian Tidor	G	11	1-5	0-3	1-2	2	0	1	0	3
Tre-Vaughn Minott	C	37	1-4	0-0	0-0	12	1	0	2	2
Mozae Downing-Rivers	G	6	1-4	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Alex Dupre	G	9	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Samuel Stewart IV	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.7Possessions73.7

101.8Offensive Efficiency97.7

97.7Defensive Efficiency101.8

4.1Net Efficiency-4.1

62.8%Effective FG%34.3%

65.3%True Shooting %43.5%

24.8%Turnover Rate9.4%

46.8%Free Throw Rate38.6%

53.2%3-Point Rate40.0%

0.61Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Montana won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 73.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.