California

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

32.0%California

68.0%Florida State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFlorida State -4.6

PROJECTED TOTAL158.0

MODEL MONEYLINEFlorida State -212

Florida State

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCalifornia 77

Projected Total158.0

Projected ScoreFlorida State 81

Team Comparison

CaliforniaMetricFlorida State

56.5MMH Power Index58.7

111.8Offensive Efficiency111.9

104.8Defensive Efficiency108.5

7.0Net Efficiency3.4

2.8Strength of Schedule5.7

1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency7.6

69.9Tempo71.8

52.6%Effective FG%52.4%

14.9%Turnover Rate15.2%

26.6%Offensive Rebound %30.3%

36.8%Free Throw Rate35.2%

4.9Average Margin2.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (104.8–108.5), net efficiency (7.0–3.4), shooting efficiency (52.6–52.4), ball security (14.9–15.2).

Florida State COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (58.7–56.5), offensive efficiency (111.9–111.8), strength of schedule (5.7–2.8).

Final

California

89—95

Florida State

Florida State by 6 • 69.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CaliforniaTEAM STATFlorida State

31-61FG35-61

51.0%FG%57.0%

11-273PT13-28

41.0%3PT%46.0%

16-24FT12-19

67.0%FT%63.0%

38Rebounds26

15Offensive Rebounds6

11Assists19

12Turnovers6

3Steals8

3Blocks4

17Fouls19

Player Box Score

California

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dai Dai Ames	G	37	9-18	4-8	5-7	4	1	0	0	27
Chris Bell	F	30	7-12	3-7	0-0	3	0	0	1	17
Justin Pippen	G	28	5-8	0-2	5-6	2	6	1	0	15
John Camden	F	31	4-10	3-8	0-1	3	1	2	0	11
Lee Dort	F	28	2-3	0-0	3-6	18	0	0	1	7
Sammie Yeanay	F	5	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Semetri Carr	G	13	0-2	0-0	3-4	1	3	0	0	3
Nolan Dorsey	G	6	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
DeJuan Campbell	G	15	1-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Milos Ilic	C	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	0

Florida State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Robert McCray V	G	33	10-17	4-7	6-9	5	8	2	1	30
Lajae Jones	G	32	6-9	2-4	1-2	6	3	3	0	15
Chauncey Wiggins	F	24	5-9	2-4	2-3	3	0	1	0	14
Kobe MaGee	G	26	4-8	4-8	1-2	2	0	1	0	13
Thomas Bassong	F	28	4-7	0-2	0-1	2	1	0	2	8
Alex Steen	F	27	3-5	0-0	2-2	8	0	0	0	8
Shah Muhammad	F	4	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	4
Martin Somerville	G	26	1-4	1-3	0-0	0	7	1	0	3

Advanced Game Stats

69.7Possessions69.7

127.7Offensive Efficiency136.3

136.3Defensive Efficiency127.7

-8.6Net Efficiency8.6

59.8%Effective FG%68.0%

61.5%True Shooting %67.8%

17.3%Turnover Rate8.6%

39.3%Free Throw Rate31.1%

44.3%3-Point Rate45.9%

0.92Assist / Turnover3.17

Game Summary

Florida State won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 69.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.