SMU

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.5%SMU

73.5%Louisville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLouisville -8.2

PROJECTED TOTAL163.7

MODEL MONEYLINELouisville -277

Louisville

24-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSMU 78

Projected Total163.7

Projected ScoreLouisville 86

Team Comparison

SMUMetricLouisville

62.5MMH Power Index67.1

118.2Offensive Efficiency118.6

109.6Defensive Efficiency102.2

8.6Net Efficiency16.4

7.0Strength of Schedule6.0

-1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency1.4

71.1Tempo71.0

55.7%Effective FG%56.9%

15.7%Turnover Rate16.8%

35.0%Offensive Rebound %32.3%

31.3%Free Throw Rate34.1%

6.1Average Margin11.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Louisville HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLouisville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (67.1–62.5), offensive efficiency (118.6–118.2), defensive efficiency (102.2–109.6), net efficiency (16.4–8.6).

SMU COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.0–6.0), ball security (15.7–16.8), offensive rebounding (35.0–32.3).

Final

SMU

58—62

Louisville

Louisville by 4 • 61.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

SMUTEAM STATLouisville

24-56FG21-53

43.0%FG%40.0%

9-273PT6-26

33.0%3PT%23.0%

1-3FT14-20

33.0%FT%70.0%

34Rebounds32

11Offensive Rebounds10

10Assists8

14Turnovers10

5Steals6

5Blocks2

16Fouls12

Player Box Score

SMU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaron Pierre Jr.	G	39	6-10	5-9	0-0	4	0	0	0	17
Jaden Toombs	C	32	6-11	0-1	1-2	9	2	3	3	13
Corey Washington	F	27	4-7	2-4	0-0	1	0	1	0	10
Boopie Miller	G	38	4-17	0-8	0-0	8	4	1	0	8
Sam Walters	F	11	2-4	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	5
B.J. Davis-Ray	G	7	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Samet Yigitoglu	C	31	1-3	0-0	0-1	7	3	0	1	2
Jermaine O'Neal Jr.	F	15	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Louisville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Conwell	G	33	6-15	2-9	2-2	3	0	0	0	16
Adrian Wooley	G	36	3-9	1-5	7-8	6	2	0	0	14
Isaac McKneely	G	39	2-9	2-7	4-5	7	5	1	0	10
J'Vonne Hadley	G	34	4-8	1-3	0-0	4	0	3	0	9
Vangelis Zougris	F	18	3-4	0-0	1-3	4	1	0	0	7
Sananda Fru	F	15	1-1	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	0	2
Kobe Rodgers	G	13	1-4	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Aly Khalifa	C	6	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	1	2
Khani Rooths	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.5Possessions61.5

94.3Offensive Efficiency100.8

100.8Defensive Efficiency94.3

-6.5Net Efficiency6.5

50.9%Effective FG%45.3%

50.5%True Shooting %49.6%

23.2%Turnover Rate16.0%

5.4%Free Throw Rate37.7%

48.2%3-Point Rate49.1%

0.71Assist / Turnover0.80

Game Summary

Louisville won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 61.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.