LSU

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.9%LSU

83.1%Kentucky

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADKentucky -10.6

PROJECTED TOTAL161.2

MODEL MONEYLINEKentucky -492

Kentucky

22-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLSU 75

Projected Total161.2

Projected ScoreKentucky 86

Team Comparison

LSUMetricKentucky

54.2MMH Power Index63.9

115.5Offensive Efficiency115.2

111.3Defensive Efficiency106.3

4.2Net Efficiency8.9

4.5Strength of Schedule8.7

-12.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.0

70.5Tempo69.9

53.4%Effective FG%53.2%

15.6%Turnover Rate15.4%

33.2%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

41.9%Free Throw Rate38.0%

2.9Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMKentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.9–54.2), defensive efficiency (106.3–111.3), net efficiency (8.9–4.2), strength of schedule (8.7–4.5).

LSU COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (115.5–115.2), shooting efficiency (53.4–53.2), free throw rate (41.9–38.0).

Final

LSU

82—87

Kentucky

Kentucky by 5 • 70.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LSUTEAM STATKentucky

32-64FG32-64

50.0%FG%50.0%

5-203PT6-22

25.0%3PT%27.0%

13-20FT17-23

65.0%FT%74.0%

35Rebounds33

11Offensive Rebounds11

11Assists15

9Turnovers5

1Steals5

2Blocks3

17Fouls16

Player Box Score

LSU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Max Mackinnon	G	33	11-17	2-6	4-6	4	1	0	0	28
Mike Nwoko	F	35	5-9	0-0	6-8	12	2	0	0	16
Jalen Reece	G	38	5-11	0-4	1-2	6	7	1	0	11
Marquel Sutton	F	36	5-12	1-2	0-0	7	0	0	1	11
Rashad King	G	19	3-6	1-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	7
Pablo Tamba	F	30	2-5	0-0	2-4	4	1	0	1	6
PJ Carter	G	9	1-4	1-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	3

Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Otega Oweh	G	39	8-19	0-3	7-10	8	3	1	0	23
Brandon Garrison	F	26	7-9	2-3	1-2	5	2	2	2	17
Denzel Aberdeen	G	37	6-13	1-5	3-4	2	3	1	0	16
Collin Chandler	G	31	3-8	1-5	1-2	1	3	0	0	8
Mouhamed Dioubate	F	21	3-6	0-1	1-1	7	2	0	0	7
Andrija Jelavic	F	14	3-4	1-2	0-0	3	0	0	1	7
Malachi Moreno	C	12	0-1	0-0	4-4	3	0	0	0	4
Kam Williams	G	17	1-3	1-3	0-0	2	1	1	0	3
Jasper Johnson	G	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

70.2Possessions70.2

116.8Offensive Efficiency123.9

123.9Defensive Efficiency116.8

-7.1Net Efficiency7.1

53.9%Effective FG%54.7%

55.8%True Shooting %58.1%

12.6%Turnover Rate7.3%

31.3%Free Throw Rate35.9%

31.3%3-Point Rate34.4%

1.22Assist / Turnover3.00

Game Summary

Kentucky won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 70.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.