Arizona State

17-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

3.6%Arizona State

96.4%Iowa State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIowa State -22.2

PROJECTED TOTAL153.2

MODEL MONEYLINEIowa State -2678

Iowa State

28-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArizona State 65

Projected Total153.2

Projected ScoreIowa State 88

Team Comparison

Arizona StateMetricIowa State

51MMH Power Index75.9

108.1Offensive Efficiency119.3

110.9Defensive Efficiency96.0

-2.8Net Efficiency23.3

7.0Strength of Schedule4.9

-7.5Last 10 Net Efficiency17.5

70.6Tempo68.4

51.3%Effective FG%56.1%

17.1%Turnover Rate15.0%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %35.5%

40.2%Free Throw Rate35.2%

-1.9Average Margin15.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Iowa State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIowa State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (75.9–51.0), offensive efficiency (119.3–108.1), defensive efficiency (96.0–110.9), net efficiency (23.3–-2.8).

Arizona State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.0–4.9), free throw rate (40.2–35.2).

Final

Arizona State

42—91

Iowa State

Iowa State by 49 • 68.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Arizona StateTEAM STATIowa State

15-47FG33-65

32.0%FG%51.0%

1-193PT10-25

5.0%3PT%40.0%

11-12FT15-25

92.0%FT%60.0%

32Rebounds38

9Offensive Rebounds14

6Assists18

23Turnovers8

5Steals10

4Blocks—

21Fouls15

Player Box Score

Arizona State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Santiago Trouet	F	31	2-6	0-0	9-10	10	0	1	0	13
Massamba Diop	C	30	4-6	0-1	0-0	8	1	0	2	8
Anthony Johnson	G	23	3-9	0-2	0-0	4	0	2	1	6
Andrija Grbovic	F	23	2-7	1-6	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Allen Mukeba	F	16	1-3	0-0	2-2	4	1	0	1	4
Noah Meeusen	G	30	1-5	0-3	0-0	2	2	1	0	2
Maurice Odum	G	30	1-6	0-5	0-0	3	2	1	0	2
Bryce Ford	G	13	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Trevor Best	G	4	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Iowa State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Milan Momcilovic	F	31	6-11	4-8	5-7	2	1	0	21
Joshua Jefferson	F	31	8-13	1-4	3-4	12	4	3	20
Blake Buchanan	F	25	7-11	0-0	3-7	6	1	2	17
Tamin Lipsey	G	30	4-6	3-5	0-0	1	4	2	11
Jamarion Batemon	G	21	3-11	1-4	2-2	1	2	1	9
Killyan Toure	G	21	1-5	1-2	1-2	5	2	1	4
Dominykas Pleta	F	15	2-4	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	4
Eric Mulder	F	2	1-1	0-0	0-1	1	0	1	2
Dominick Nelson	G	2	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	2
Cade Kelderman	G	5	0-1	0-1	1-2	0	1	0	1
Nate Heise	G	16	0-0	0-0	0-0	5	2	0	0
Anthony Rise	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.8Possessions68.8

61.0Offensive Efficiency132.3

132.3Defensive Efficiency61.0

-71.2Net Efficiency71.2

33.0%Effective FG%58.5%

39.8%True Shooting %59.2%

34.5%Turnover Rate11.3%

25.5%Free Throw Rate38.5%

40.4%3-Point Rate38.5%

0.26Assist / Turnover2.25

Game Summary

Iowa State won by 49 points. The game played at approximately 68.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.