Mississippi State

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

6.2%Mississippi State

93.8%Auburn

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAuburn -16.9

PROJECTED TOTAL165.4

MODEL MONEYLINEAuburn -1513

Auburn

21-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMississippi State 74

Projected Total165.4

Projected ScoreAuburn 91

Team Comparison

Mississippi StateMetricAuburn

44.6MMH Power Index64.4

107.4Offensive Efficiency118.8

113.2Defensive Efficiency113.0

-5.8Net Efficiency5.8

5.0Strength of Schedule7.5

-17.5Last 10 Net Efficiency8.0

72.3Tempo69.8

51.6%Effective FG%53.1%

16.1%Turnover Rate14.5%

29.8%Offensive Rebound %36.5%

30.9%Free Throw Rate43.8%

-4.2Average Margin4.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Auburn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAuburn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.4–44.6), offensive efficiency (118.8–107.4), defensive efficiency (113.0–113.2), net efficiency (5.8–-5.8).

Final

Mississippi State

61—79

Auburn

Auburn by 18 • 71.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Mississippi StateTEAM STATAuburn

25-64FG27-65

39.0%FG%42.0%

6-233PT11-30

26.0%3PT%37.0%

5-15FT14-22

33.0%FT%64.0%

39Rebounds43

11Offensive Rebounds11

9Assists15

11Turnovers7

3Steals10

3Blocks4

17Fouls15

Player Box Score

Mississippi State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Hubbard	G	39	8-25	2-8	4-5	0	3	0	0	22
Jayden Epps	G	33	6-16	2-9	0-2	4	1	1	0	14
Achor Achor	F	22	3-5	1-3	0-0	8	0	0	0	7
Quincy Ballard	C	20	3-4	0-0	0-0	8	1	0	0	6
Shawn Jones Jr.	G	33	2-4	0-2	0-0	3	2	1	3	4
Ja'Borri McGhee	G	12	1-3	1-1	1-2	0	1	1	0	4
Jamarion Davis-Fleming	F	24	1-2	0-0	0-2	6	1	0	0	2
Sergej Macura	F	17	1-5	0-0	0-4	5	0	0	0	2

Auburn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kevin Overton	G	36	8-19	6-12	0-0	4	5	2	0	22
KeShawn Murphy	F	21	6-7	1-2	2-2	9	2	4	2	15
Keyshawn Hall	F	35	4-9	1-4	5-7	3	2	0	0	14
Tahaad Pettiford	G	29	5-16	2-8	1-1	6	5	1	2	13
Elyjah Freeman	G	29	3-7	0-1	1-4	10	0	2	0	7
Sebastian Williams-Adams	F	24	1-5	1-2	2-2	5	0	0	0	5
Blake Muschalek	G	9	0-1	0-1	2-2	1	0	1	0	2
Filip Jovic	F	17	0-1	0-0	1-4	2	1	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

71.3Possessions71.3

85.6Offensive Efficiency110.8

110.8Defensive Efficiency85.6

-25.2Net Efficiency25.2

43.8%Effective FG%50.0%

42.9%True Shooting %52.4%

15.5%Turnover Rate9.8%

23.4%Free Throw Rate33.8%

35.9%3-Point Rate46.2%

0.82Assist / Turnover2.14

Game Summary

Auburn won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 71.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.