Cincinnati

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

49.5%Cincinnati

50.5%UCF

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUCF -0.9

PROJECTED TOTAL151.6

MODEL MONEYLINEUCF -102

UCF

21-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCincinnati 75

Projected Total151.6

Projected ScoreUCF 76

Team Comparison

CincinnatiMetricUCF

61.5MMH Power Index57.1

105.3Offensive Efficiency113.3

97.3Defensive Efficiency110.0

8.0Net Efficiency3.3

5.1Strength of Schedule6.6

14.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.8

69.4Tempo71.2

50.6%Effective FG%53.0%

17.0%Turnover Rate16.0%

30.6%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

30.7%Free Throw Rate31.1%

5.5Average Margin2.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UCF HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUCF holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (113.3–105.3), strength of schedule (6.6–5.1), shooting efficiency (53.0–50.6), ball security (16.0–17.0).

Cincinnati COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (61.5–57.1), defensive efficiency (97.3–110.0), net efficiency (8.0–3.3).

Final

Cincinnati

65—66

UCF

UCF by 1 • 76.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CincinnatiTEAM STATUCF

20-59FG25-74

34.0%FG%34.0%

11-263PT3-24

42.0%3PT%13.0%

14-17FT13-23

82.0%FT%57.0%

46Rebounds49

10Offensive Rebounds18

13Assists10

19Turnovers10

5Steals7

6Blocks2

19Fouls16

Player Box Score

Cincinnati

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Moustapha Thiam	C	42	7-14	3-4	1-1	16	0	1	5	18
Day Day Thomas	G	42	4-14	1-7	6-7	3	6	0	0	15
Jalen Celestine	G	39	4-12	3-9	0-1	5	1	2	0	11
Keyshuan Tillery	G	23	3-6	2-3	2-2	3	1	1	0	10
Jizzle James	G	30	2-6	2-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	6
Baba Miller	F	33	0-6	0-1	4-4	12	4	0	1	4
Sencire Harris	G	11	0-1	0-0	1-2	2	0	1	0	1
Halvine Dzellat	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Shon Abaev	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Tyler McKinley	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UCF

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jamichael Stillwell	F	33	7-17	0-0	3-6	15	0	1	0	17
Riley Kugel	G	35	7-17	1-4	0-1	2	1	1	0	15
John Bol	C	31	4-9	0-1	5-7	8	0	0	0	13
Jordan Burks	F	39	3-9	0-4	3-4	8	1	3	0	9
Themus Fulks	G	40	2-9	0-2	0-0	3	7	0	0	4
Carmelo Pacheco	G	14	1-5	1-5	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Chris Johnson	G	13	1-6	1-6	0-0	3	0	0	1	3
Devan Cambridge	F	12	0-2	0-2	2-5	3	0	1	0	2
Jeremy Foumena	C	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	1	0
Elijah Hulsewe	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.5Possessions76.5

85.0Offensive Efficiency86.3

86.3Defensive Efficiency85.0

-1.3Net Efficiency1.3

43.2%Effective FG%35.8%

48.5%True Shooting %38.9%

25.0%Turnover Rate13.0%

28.8%Free Throw Rate31.1%

44.1%3-Point Rate32.4%

0.68Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

UCF won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 76.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.