Providence

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.5%Providence

58.5%Butler

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADButler -3.5

PROJECTED TOTAL168.3

MODEL MONEYLINEButler -141

Butler

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreProvidence 82

Projected Total168.3

Projected ScoreButler 86

Team Comparison

ProvidenceMetricButler

54.2MMH Power Index52.7

115.0Offensive Efficiency111.7

113.2Defensive Efficiency109.1

1.8Net Efficiency2.6

4.0Strength of Schedule3.1

-1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.5

74.2Tempo71.1

55.0%Effective FG%51.2%

16.7%Turnover Rate15.9%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %34.4%

37.3%Free Throw Rate42.9%

1.3Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Butler HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMButler holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (109.1–113.2), net efficiency (2.6–1.8), ball security (15.9–16.7), offensive rebounding (34.4–31.8).

Providence COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (54.2–52.7), offensive efficiency (115.0–111.7), strength of schedule (4.0–3.1).

Final

Providence

91—81

Butler

Providence by 10 • 72.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ProvidenceTEAM STATButler

34-65FG30-65

52.0%FG%46.0%

14-273PT5-17

52.0%3PT%29.0%

9-13FT16-21

69.0%FT%76.0%

37Rebounds33

9Offensive Rebounds9

21Assists16

9Turnovers8

5Steals4

3Blocks2

16Fouls14

Player Box Score

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Stefan Vaaks	G	37	9-16	8-13	2-2	1	3	0	0	28
Ryan Mela	G	36	10-14	2-4	1-1	9	5	0	1	23
Jaylin Sellers	G	36	8-22	3-7	4-6	7	4	3	0	23
Jamier Jones	F	30	4-7	0-1	2-4	5	2	0	1	10
Oswin Erhunmwunse	F	26	2-2	0-0	0-0	7	2	0	1	4
Nilavan Daniels	G	10	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	2	0	0	3
Cole Hargrove	F	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Corey Floyd Jr.	G	11	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	2	2	0	0
Peteris Pinnis	F	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Butler

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Michael Ajayi	F	34	7-17	0-2	7-8	11	4	1	0	21
Finley Bizjack	G	39	5-15	3-7	4-6	2	5	1	0	17
Efeosa Oliogu-Elabor	F	25	5-9	0-0	0-0	2	3	0	2	10
Drayton Jones	C	20	4-4	0-0	1-1	3	2	0	0	9
Yohan Traore	F	19	3-6	0-1	2-4	2	1	0	0	8
Jamie Kaiser Jr.	G	29	1-5	1-3	2-2	1	1	0	0	5
Evan Haywood	G	20	2-6	1-4	0-0	2	0	2	0	5
Yame Butler	G	7	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Jackson Keith	F	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

72.6Possessions72.6

125.3Offensive Efficiency111.6

111.6Defensive Efficiency125.3

13.8Net Efficiency-13.8

63.1%Effective FG%50.0%

63.9%True Shooting %54.0%

12.6%Turnover Rate10.8%

20.0%Free Throw Rate32.3%

41.5%3-Point Rate26.2%

2.33Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Providence won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 72.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.