Missouri State

16-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.0%Missouri State

69.0%Liberty

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLiberty -6.6

PROJECTED TOTAL150.1

MODEL MONEYLINELiberty -223

Liberty

26-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMissouri State 72

Projected Total150.1

Projected ScoreLiberty 78

Team Comparison

Missouri StateMetricLiberty

51.1MMH Power Index53.7

110.5Offensive Efficiency119.0

108.4Defensive Efficiency108.0

2.1Net Efficiency11.0

0.5Strength of Schedule-2.0

-2.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.2

67.9Tempo65.3

51.8%Effective FG%60.5%

16.4%Turnover Rate13.2%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %19.0%

42.9%Free Throw Rate32.1%

1.4Average Margin7.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Liberty HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLiberty holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–51.1), offensive efficiency (119.0–110.5), defensive efficiency (108.0–108.4), net efficiency (11.0–2.1).

Missouri State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–-2.0), recent form (-2.1–-4.2), offensive rebounding (33.0–19.0).

Final

Missouri State

77—69

Liberty

Missouri State by 8 • 63.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Missouri StateTEAM STATLiberty

28-50FG27-63

56.0%FG%43.0%

8-163PT9-31

50.0%3PT%29.0%

13-22FT6-9

59.0%FT%67.0%

34Rebounds30

7Offensive Rebounds11

14Assists15

10Turnovers8

3Steals7

3Blocks3

13Fouls18

Player Box Score

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Michael Osei-Bonsu	F	34	14-16	0-0	3-7	8	4	1	1	31
Kobi Williams	G	40	5-12	3-6	6-7	3	3	1	0	19
Trey Williams Jr.	G	38	3-7	3-4	1-2	3	3	1	0	10
Keith Palek III	F	28	2-9	1-4	1-2	9	4	0	0	6
Darrion Sutton	F	15	3-4	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	2	6
Zaxton King	G	30	1-2	1-2	1-2	1	0	0	0	4
Melakih Cunningham	G	10	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Tyrique Brooks	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Cameron Boone	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Liberty

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zach Cleveland	F	35	9-14	0-0	2-3	14	4	1	0	20
Brett Decker Jr.	G	38	5-15	2-8	2-3	3	2	1	0	14
Kaden Metheny	G	38	4-12	4-10	2-2	1	3	1	0	14
Josh Smith	F	15	3-4	0-1	0-1	0	1	1	0	6
Ryan Jones Jr.	F	13	2-4	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	2	5
Colin Porter	G	37	2-10	0-6	0-0	4	5	3	1	4
JJ Harper	G	15	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Zander Carter	G	9	1-2	1-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	3

Advanced Game Stats

63.9Possessions63.9

120.5Offensive Efficiency108.0

108.0Defensive Efficiency120.5

12.5Net Efficiency-12.5

64.0%Effective FG%50.0%

63.7%True Shooting %51.3%

15.8%Turnover Rate12.4%

44.0%Free Throw Rate14.3%

32.0%3-Point Rate49.2%

1.40Assist / Turnover1.88

Game Summary

Missouri State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 63.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.