New Mexico State

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.8%New Mexico State

74.2%Sam Houston

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSam Houston -7.7

PROJECTED TOTAL154.7

MODEL MONEYLINESam Houston -288

Sam Houston

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNew Mexico State 74

Projected Total154.7

Projected ScoreSam Houston 81

Team Comparison

New Mexico StateMetricSam Houston

51.2MMH Power Index56.1

108.9Offensive Efficiency115.5

104.5Defensive Efficiency105.5

4.4Net Efficiency10.0

-0.7Strength of Schedule-2.2

-2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency3.2

68.9Tempo71.2

48.6%Effective FG%53.2%

15.2%Turnover Rate16.6%

33.1%Offensive Rebound %37.4%

37.0%Free Throw Rate34.8%

3.1Average Margin7.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Sam Houston HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSam Houston holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.1–51.2), offensive efficiency (115.5–108.9), net efficiency (10.0–4.4), recent form (3.2–-2.0).

New Mexico State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.5–105.5), strength of schedule (-0.7–-2.2), ball security (15.2–16.6).

Final

New Mexico State

61—69

Sam Houston

Sam Houston by 8 • 71.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

New Mexico StateTEAM STATSam Houston

22-59FG22-66

37.0%FG%33.0%

3-193PT5-22

16.0%3PT%23.0%

14-24FT20-33

58.0%FT%61.0%

42Rebounds50

12Offensive Rebounds20

6Assists10

14Turnovers9

3Steals9

2Blocks—

27Fouls19

Player Box Score

New Mexico State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jemel Jones	G	29	6-21	1-6	6-8	6	1	0	2	19
Jae'Coby Osborne	F	26	5-6	0-0	0-0	7	0	1	0	10
Elijah Elliott	G	18	3-9	0-4	2-2	3	2	0	0	8
Gabe Pickens	G	30	2-4	0-0	2-3	4	2	1	0	6
Jayland Randall	G	24	2-9	0-5	0-2	4	0	0	0	4
Anthony Wrzeszcz	G	21	1-2	1-2	1-2	1	0	1	0	4
Kyrese Mullen	F	20	1-3	0-1	2-5	9	0	0	0	4
Julius Mims	F	16	1-3	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	0	3
Chris Terrell	G	9	1-2	1-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Augustine Ekwe	C	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Cyr Malonga	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Sam Houston

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Kashie Natt	G	35	6-14	1-4	4-6	16	1	2	17
Jacobe Coleman	G	33	5-12	2-4	3-4	4	1	2	15
Veljko Ilic	F	32	5-11	0-0	3-9	6	3	2	13
Jacob Walker	G	21	2-6	1-2	7-10	3	1	2	12
Po'Boigh King	G	25	2-9	1-7	2-2	1	2	0	7
Damon Nicholas Jr.	G	38	1-10	0-3	1-2	12	2	1	3
CJ Beaumont	G	8	1-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	2
Matt Dann	F	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.6Possessions71.6

85.2Offensive Efficiency96.4

96.4Defensive Efficiency85.2

-11.2Net Efficiency11.2

39.8%Effective FG%37.1%

43.3%True Shooting %42.2%

19.3%Turnover Rate12.7%

40.7%Free Throw Rate50.0%

32.2%3-Point Rate33.3%

0.43Assist / Turnover1.11

Game Summary

Sam Houston won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 71.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.