San José State

9-24

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

7.9%San José State

92.1%Boise State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBoise State -16.8

PROJECTED TOTAL153.3

MODEL MONEYLINEBoise State -1166

Boise State

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSan José State 68

Projected Total153.3

Projected ScoreBoise State 85

Team Comparison

San José StateMetricBoise State

42MMH Power Index59.5

108.7Offensive Efficiency113.9

118.5Defensive Efficiency107.1

-9.8Net Efficiency6.8

1.8Strength of Schedule4.2

-8.6Last 10 Net Efficiency5.2

66.2Tempo68.6

50.8%Effective FG%52.7%

15.2%Turnover Rate17.0%

30.7%Offensive Rebound %33.8%

34.2%Free Throw Rate42.7%

-6.5Average Margin4.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Boise State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY92.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBoise State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.5–42.0), offensive efficiency (113.9–108.7), defensive efficiency (107.1–118.5), net efficiency (6.8–-9.8).

San José State COUNTERS WITHball security (15.2–17.0).

Final

San José State

84—74

Boise State

San José State by 10 • 69.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

San José StateTEAM STATBoise State

30-61FG22-58

49.0%FG%38.0%

9-253PT5-23

36.0%3PT%22.0%

15-24FT25-30

63.0%FT%83.0%

32Rebounds41

9Offensive Rebounds14

10Assists7

6Turnovers12

8Steals4

5Blocks—

20Fouls18

Player Box Score

San José State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Colby Garland	G	40	7-18	1-5	7-7	5	3	3	0	22
Jermaine Washington	G	37	6-11	3-7	3-6	2	6	1	0	18
Sadraque NgaNga	F	28	5-7	2-3	2-2	7	1	1	2	14
Adrian Myers	F	25	6-11	1-4	1-2	10	0	1	1	14
Melvin Bell Jr.	G	40	4-8	1-3	2-4	2	0	2	1	11
Japhet Moupadele	F	22	2-5	1-3	0-3	3	0	0	1	5
Marcus Overstreet	F	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Javan Buchanan	F	36	7-18	0-5	14-16	13	2	2	28
Andrew Meadow	F	36	6-12	2-5	3-3	6	0	1	17
Drew Fielder	C	29	3-7	1-3	5-7	6	1	1	12
Dylan Andrews	G	26	2-6	1-4	3-4	1	0	0	8
Pearson Carmichael	F	11	2-7	1-4	0-0	3	1	0	5
Dominic Parolin	F	11	1-4	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	2
Spencer Ahrens	F	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	2
RJ Keene II	G	28	0-3	0-2	0-0	4	0	0	0
Aginaldo Neto	G	17	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.9Possessions69.9

120.2Offensive Efficiency105.9

105.9Defensive Efficiency120.2

14.3Net Efficiency-14.3

56.6%Effective FG%42.2%

58.0%True Shooting %51.2%

8.6%Turnover Rate17.1%

39.3%Free Throw Rate51.7%

41.0%3-Point Rate39.7%

1.67Assist / Turnover0.58

Game Summary

San José State won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 69.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.