UC Santa Barbara

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

45.6%UC Santa Barbara

54.4%UC Davis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Davis -1.9

PROJECTED TOTAL153.9

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Davis -119

UC Davis

19-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Santa Barbara 76

Projected Total153.9

Projected ScoreUC Davis 78

Team Comparison

UC Santa BarbaraMetricUC Davis

51.4MMH Power Index48.4

113.2Offensive Efficiency107.2

106.1Defensive Efficiency103.7

7.1Net Efficiency3.5

-2.0Strength of Schedule-1.9

-1.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

68.5Tempo72.4

54.8%Effective FG%52.3%

18.7%Turnover Rate17.7%

32.5%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

37.9%Free Throw Rate41.5%

4.8Average Margin2.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Santa Barbara HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Santa Barbara holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–48.4), offensive efficiency (113.2–107.2), net efficiency (7.1–3.5), shooting efficiency (54.8–52.3).

UC Davis COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.7–106.1), strength of schedule (-1.9–-2.0), recent form (-0.1–-1.7).

Final

UC Santa Barbara

73—79

UC Davis

UC Davis by 6 • 73.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC Santa BarbaraTEAM STATUC Davis

25-62FG28-58

40.0%FG%48.0%

5-263PT7-23

19.0%3PT%30.0%

18-23FT16-22

78.0%FT%73.0%

38Rebounds35

11Offensive Rebounds5

5Assists13

12Turnovers10

7Steals8

4Blocks2

19Fouls15

Player Box Score

UC Santa Barbara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
CJ Shaw	G	29	7-13	2-5	4-5	2	2	1	0	20
Hosana Kitenge	F	25	6-6	0-0	3-4	6	0	0	1	15
Miro Little	G	34	5-12	0-4	3-4	7	3	0	0	13
Aidan Mahaney	G	39	3-15	2-10	1-2	4	0	2	1	9
Colin Smith	F	29	2-5	0-2	2-2	5	0	1	0	6
Zion Sensley	G	18	2-8	1-5	0-0	6	0	1	0	5
Koat Keat Tong	F	4	0-2	0-0	3-4	4	0	0	0	3
Marvin McGhee IV	G	22	0-1	0-0	2-2	2	0	2	2	2

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Carl Daughtery Jr.	G	37	9-15	5-9	1-2	8	0	2	0	24
Marcus Wilson	G	25	7-10	0-1	3-4	3	4	3	0	17
Omer Suljanovic	F	27	5-11	0-3	2-4	4	1	0	0	12
Brayden Fagbemi	G	28	4-7	2-3	1-2	4	3	2	0	11
Connor Sevilla	G	26	1-6	0-4	8-8	1	2	0	0	10
Isaiah Chappell	F	33	2-9	0-3	1-2	9	0	1	1	5
Niko Rocak	F	20	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	1	0
Cyril Franklin Jr.	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.7Possessions73.7

99.1Offensive Efficiency107.2

107.2Defensive Efficiency99.1

-8.1Net Efficiency8.1

44.4%Effective FG%54.3%

50.1%True Shooting %57.7%

16.2%Turnover Rate13.6%

37.1%Free Throw Rate37.9%

41.9%3-Point Rate39.7%

0.42Assist / Turnover1.30

Game Summary

UC Davis won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 73.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.