Florida State

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.4%Florida State

95.6%Duke

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -20.8

PROJECTED TOTAL154.1

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -2173

Duke

35-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFlorida State 67

Projected Total154.1

Projected ScoreDuke 87

Team Comparison

Florida StateMetricDuke

58.7MMH Power Index81.7

111.9Offensive Efficiency122.2

108.5Defensive Efficiency95.2

3.4Net Efficiency27.0

5.7Strength of Schedule7.8

7.6Last 10 Net Efficiency18.7

71.8Tempo66.8

52.4%Effective FG%56.9%

15.2%Turnover Rate15.9%

30.3%Offensive Rebound %38.2%

35.2%Free Throw Rate39.0%

2.4Average Margin18.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–58.7), offensive efficiency (122.2–111.9), defensive efficiency (95.2–108.5), net efficiency (27.0–3.4).

Florida State COUNTERS WITHball security (15.2–15.9).

Final

Florida State

79—80

Duke

Duke by 1 • 67.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Florida StateTEAM STATDuke

28-54FG28-64

52.0%FG%44.0%

11-283PT10-34

39.0%3PT%29.0%

12-18FT14-23

67.0%FT%61.0%

25Rebounds46

6Offensive Rebounds22

10Assists17

10Turnovers15

11Steals7

5Blocks4

19Fouls17

Player Box Score

Florida State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Lajae Jones	G	32	8-15	4-8	8-8	5	1	2	1	28
Robert McCray V	G	34	10-19	2-8	3-4	5	4	2	1	25
Chauncey Wiggins	F	36	5-8	3-4	0-0	3	1	0	1	13
Martin Somerville	G	30	2-4	2-4	0-2	2	1	3	0	6
Thomas Bassong	F	16	2-4	0-2	1-2	0	0	0	0	5
Alex Steen	F	33	1-1	0-0	0-2	8	3	4	2	2
Kobe MaGee	G	19	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Evans	G	39	11-20	7-16	3-4	6	3	1	1	32
Cameron Boozer	F	39	7-16	2-5	7-9	10	4	1	0	23
Nikolas Khamenia	G	29	4-9	1-4	0-1	5	3	1	0	9
Cayden Boozer	G	22	3-10	0-5	3-3	3	1	1	0	9
Maliq Brown	F	28	2-2	0-0	0-4	12	3	3	2	4
Dame Sarr	G	35	1-5	0-3	1-2	5	3	0	1	3
Darren Harris	G	8	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.3Possessions67.3

117.4Offensive Efficiency118.9

118.9Defensive Efficiency117.4

-1.5Net Efficiency1.5

62.0%Effective FG%51.6%

63.1%True Shooting %53.4%

15.0%Turnover Rate22.1%

33.3%Free Throw Rate35.9%

51.9%3-Point Rate53.1%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.13

Game Summary

Duke won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 67.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.