Providence

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

9.1%Providence

90.9%St. John's

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSt. John's -16.1

PROJECTED TOTAL164.1

MODEL MONEYLINESt. John's -999

St. John's

30-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreProvidence 74

Projected Total164.1

Projected ScoreSt. John's 90

Team Comparison

ProvidenceMetricSt. John's

54.2MMH Power Index70.3

115.0Offensive Efficiency114.4

113.2Defensive Efficiency97.6

1.8Net Efficiency16.8

4.0Strength of Schedule5.5

-1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency11.4

74.2Tempo70.9

55.0%Effective FG%51.3%

16.7%Turnover Rate14.3%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %34.8%

37.3%Free Throw Rate41.1%

1.3Average Margin11.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. John's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. John's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.3–54.2), defensive efficiency (97.6–113.2), net efficiency (16.8–1.8), strength of schedule (5.5–4.0).

Providence COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (115.0–114.4), shooting efficiency (55.0–51.3).

Final

Providence

72—85

St. John's

St. John's by 13 • 75.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ProvidenceTEAM STATSt. John's

25-56FG33-77

45.0%FG%43.0%

5-143PT7-27

36.0%3PT%26.0%

17-25FT12-17

68.0%FT%71.0%

30Rebounds51

4Offensive Rebounds18

4Assists18

11Turnovers9

5Steals6

2Blocks5

13Fouls19

Player Box Score

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Stefan Vaaks	G	36	7-12	5-9	4-6	5	1	0	0	23
Jaylin Sellers	G	36	6-17	0-4	9-10	6	1	2	0	21
Ryan Mela	G	36	7-14	0-1	2-3	4	1	1	0	16
Jamier Jones	F	30	3-7	0-0	0-1	4	0	1	0	6
Cole Hargrove	F	22	1-1	0-0	0-0	6	0	1	2	2
Oswin Erhunmwunse	F	19	1-3	0-0	0-3	2	0	0	0	2
Corey Floyd Jr.	G	10	0-2	0-0	2-2	1	1	0	0	2
Nilavan Daniels	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Peteris Pinnis	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jack Williams	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

St. John's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zuby Ejiofor	F	23	9-14	0-2	3-4	10	5	0	3	21
Oziyah Sellers	G	32	6-12	2-6	0-0	2	2	1	0	14
Bryce Hopkins	F	28	6-10	1-4	1-2	13	1	1	1	14
Ian Jackson	G	19	4-11	2-4	4-4	3	2	0	0	14
Joson Sanon	G	26	2-9	2-7	2-2	3	0	1	0	8
Ruben Prey	F	19	2-5	0-1	2-3	2	2	0	1	6
Dillon Mitchell	F	14	3-6	0-0	0-2	8	2	1	0	6
Sadiku Ibine Ayo	F	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	2
Dylan Darling	G	26	0-8	0-3	0-0	3	2	2	0	0
Lefteris Liotopoulos	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.5Possessions75.5

95.4Offensive Efficiency112.6

112.6Defensive Efficiency95.4

-17.2Net Efficiency17.2

49.1%Effective FG%47.4%

53.0%True Shooting %50.0%

14.7%Turnover Rate11.8%

44.6%Free Throw Rate22.1%

25.0%3-Point Rate35.1%

0.36Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

St. John's won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 75.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.