Kentucky

22-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

55.9%Kentucky

44.1%Missouri

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADKentucky -0.6

PROJECTED TOTAL157.9

MODEL MONEYLINEKentucky -127

Missouri

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreKentucky 79

Projected Total157.9

Projected ScoreMissouri 79

Team Comparison

KentuckyMetricMissouri

63.9MMH Power Index57.2

115.2Offensive Efficiency115.1

106.3Defensive Efficiency109.7

8.9Net Efficiency5.4

8.7Strength of Schedule5.0

-1.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.2

69.9Tempo68.8

53.2%Effective FG%55.2%

15.4%Turnover Rate17.8%

33.2%Offensive Rebound %34.8%

38.0%Free Throw Rate43.1%

6.2Average Margin3.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMKentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.9–57.2), offensive efficiency (115.2–115.1), defensive efficiency (106.3–109.7), net efficiency (8.9–5.4).

Missouri COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (55.2–53.2), offensive rebounding (34.8–33.2), free throw rate (43.1–38.0).

Final

Kentucky

78—72

Missouri

Kentucky by 6 • 68.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

KentuckyTEAM STATMissouri

27-55FG26-55

49.0%FG%47.0%

6-213PT5-13

29.0%3PT%38.0%

18-23FT15-23

78.0%FT%65.0%

27Rebounds35

7Offensive Rebounds11

18Assists10

9Turnovers15

9Steals7

9Blocks2

22Fouls20

Player Box Score

Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Otega Oweh	G	35	9-18	2-6	1-2	3	2	2	0	21
Denzel Aberdeen	G	34	4-12	1-4	7-8	1	7	2	0	16
Collin Chandler	G	33	5-6	2-3	3-3	2	2	3	0	15
Mouhamed Dioubate	F	20	3-5	0-0	3-4	7	2	0	2	9
Malachi Moreno	C	32	2-4	0-1	3-4	4	3	0	3	7
Andrija Jelavic	F	18	3-6	0-3	0-0	6	1	1	0	6
Kam Williams	G	13	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Jasper Johnson	G	6	0-2	0-2	1-2	0	1	1	0	1
Brandon Garrison	F	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	4	0

Missouri

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mark Mitchell	G	39	13-21	2-2	4-7	7	1	0	0	32
T.O. Barrett	G	33	4-11	0-1	5-7	7	7	3	0	13
Shawn Phillips Jr.	C	19	3-3	0-0	2-4	5	1	0	1	8
Trent Pierce	G	32	2-5	1-4	2-3	2	0	1	0	7
Jayden Stone	G	20	2-5	1-2	0-0	7	1	0	0	5
Jacob Crews	G	8	1-2	1-2	2-2	1	0	0	0	5
Trent Burns	C	16	1-4	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Anthony Robinson II	G	29	0-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	3	0	0
Nicholas Randall	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.9Possessions68.9

113.2Offensive Efficiency104.5

104.5Defensive Efficiency113.2

8.7Net Efficiency-8.7

54.5%Effective FG%51.8%

59.2%True Shooting %54.6%

13.2%Turnover Rate21.5%

41.8%Free Throw Rate41.8%

38.2%3-Point Rate23.6%

2.00Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

Kentucky won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 68.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.