Auburn

21-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

27.3%Auburn

72.7%Tennessee

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTennessee -8.3

PROJECTED TOTAL158.3

MODEL MONEYLINETennessee -266

Tennessee

25-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAuburn 75

Projected Total158.3

Projected ScoreTennessee 83

Team Comparison

AuburnMetricTennessee

64.4MMH Power Index68.6

118.8Offensive Efficiency115.8

113.0Defensive Efficiency102.1

5.8Net Efficiency13.7

7.5Strength of Schedule7.8

8.0Last 10 Net Efficiency3.3

69.8Tempo68.1

53.1%Effective FG%51.6%

14.5%Turnover Rate17.3%

36.5%Offensive Rebound %44.5%

43.8%Free Throw Rate38.6%

4.1Average Margin9.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tennessee HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTennessee holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.6–64.4), defensive efficiency (102.1–113.0), net efficiency (13.7–5.8), strength of schedule (7.8–7.5).

Auburn COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (118.8–115.8), recent form (8.0–3.3), shooting efficiency (53.1–51.6).

Final

Auburn

62—72

Tennessee

Tennessee by 10 • 63.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

AuburnTEAM STATTennessee

21-60FG22-51

35.0%FG%43.0%

7-263PT4-13

27.0%3PT%31.0%

13-20FT24-32

65.0%FT%75.0%

40Rebounds39

16Offensive Rebounds10

6Assists15

12Turnovers6

2Steals8

3Blocks9

25Fouls17

Player Box Score

Auburn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tahaad Pettiford	G	37	9-18	5-10	5-6	4	1	1	1	28
Keyshawn Hall	F	35	4-14	1-6	1-2	6	1	0	0	10
Kevin Overton	G	34	3-8	1-4	2-2	4	0	0	0	9
KeShawn Murphy	F	27	3-4	0-1	2-6	3	2	0	0	8
Sebastian Williams-Adams	F	31	2-8	0-2	3-4	7	1	0	1	7
Elyjah Freeman	G	18	0-6	0-2	0-0	6	1	1	1	0
Filip Jovic	F	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Blake Muschalek	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nate Ament	F	32	7-15	4-6	9-13	8	4	1	3	27
Ja'Kobi Gillespie	G	36	5-11	0-2	5-7	2	3	3	0	15
Jaylen Carey	F	25	3-6	0-0	3-4	7	2	1	0	9
Felix Okpara	F	30	2-6	0-0	2-2	7	1	2	2	6
Amari Evans	G	18	2-5	0-1	1-2	4	1	0	1	5
J.P. Estrella	F	17	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	1	4
DeWayne Brown II	F	8	1-1	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	1	4
Bishop Boswell	G	31	0-5	0-4	2-2	3	3	0	1	2
Ethan Burg	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.9Possessions63.9

97.0Offensive Efficiency112.7

112.7Defensive Efficiency97.0

-15.6Net Efficiency15.6

40.8%Effective FG%47.1%

44.6%True Shooting %54.4%

18.3%Turnover Rate9.6%

33.3%Free Throw Rate62.7%

43.3%3-Point Rate25.5%

0.50Assist / Turnover2.50

Game Summary

Tennessee won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 63.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.