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UCF

21-12
GAME THAT MATTERSAT
4.5%UCF
95.5%Arizona
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADArizona -20.5
PROJECTED TOTAL161.0
MODEL MONEYLINEArizona -2122
Arizona logo

Arizona

36-3
MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreUCF 70
Projected Total161.0
Projected ScoreArizona 91

Team Comparison

57.1MMH Power Index79.9
113.3Offensive Efficiency120.3
110.0Defensive Efficiency96.9
3.3Net Efficiency23.4
6.6Strength of Schedule8.0
-3.8Last 10 Net Efficiency17.0
71.2Tempo71.6
53.0%Effective FG%55.0%
16.0%Turnover Rate15.1%
34.3%Offensive Rebound %37.8%
31.1%Free Throw Rate45.3%
2.4Average Margin16.8
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ

Arizona HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.5%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
110
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArizona holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (79.9–57.1), offensive efficiency (120.3–113.3), defensive efficiency (96.9–110.0), net efficiency (23.4–3.3).
Final
UCF logo
UCF
5981
Arizona logo
Arizona
Arizona by 2268.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UCFTEAM STATArizona
23-63FG29-60
37.0%FG%48.0%
3-213PT6-16
14.0%3PT%38.0%
10-15FT17-31
67.0%FT%55.0%
36Rebounds44
13Offensive Rebounds14
10Assists9
11Turnovers8
4Steals5
3Blocks6
24Fouls15

Player Box Score

UCF
PlayerPosMinFG3PTFTREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS
Themus FulksG356-112-20-032000014
Jordan BurksF255-130-50-031010010
Chris JohnsonG225-90-10-122100010
Jamichael StillwellF301-50-25-611510007
Riley KugelG142-71-31-20010006
John BolC172-40-01-26002005
Elijah HulseweC131-20-00-03000002
Devan CambridgeF120-50-32-22010002
George Beale Jr.G81-30-20-01000002
Kris ParkerG30-00-01-21000001
Carmelo PachecoG170-40-30-02000000
Jeremy FoumenaC40-00-00-00000000
Arizona
PlayerPosMinFG3PTFTREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS
Brayden BurriesG337-133-74-431200021
Koa PeatF295-130-02-342000012
Tobe AwakaF205-60-02-9120020012
Ivan KharchenkovF294-41-11-131000010
Motiejus KrivasC232-70-05-910122009
Jaden BradleyG313-70-02-25301008
Anthony Dell'OrsoG172-81-61-33001006
Evan NelsonG11-11-10-00000003
Dwayne AristodeF120-10-10-02010000
Sidi GueyeF30-00-00-00000000
Sven DjopmoG10-00-00-00000000
Addison ArnoldG10-00-00-00100000

Advanced Game Stats

68.4Possessions68.4
86.3Offensive Efficiency118.4
118.4Defensive Efficiency86.3
-32.2Net Efficiency32.2
38.9%Effective FG%53.3%
42.1%True Shooting %54.2%
16.1%Turnover Rate11.6%
23.8%Free Throw Rate51.7%
33.3%3-Point Rate26.7%
0.91Assist / Turnover1.13
Game Summary
Arizona won by 22 points. The game played at approximately 68.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.