Colorado State

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.3%Colorado State

73.7%San Diego State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Diego State -8.3

PROJECTED TOTAL149.4

MODEL MONEYLINESan Diego State -280

San Diego State

22-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreColorado State 71

Projected Total149.4

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 79

Team Comparison

Colorado StateMetricSan Diego State

55.4MMH Power Index60.1

117.1Offensive Efficiency110.3

109.9Defensive Efficiency99.3

7.2Net Efficiency11.0

0.4Strength of Schedule3.8

4.3Last 10 Net Efficiency0.4

64.7Tempo70.8

58.6%Effective FG%53.2%

18.3%Turnover Rate17.2%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %30.8%

41.2%Free Throw Rate39.6%

4.6Average Margin7.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

San Diego State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSan Diego State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–55.4), defensive efficiency (99.3–109.9), net efficiency (11.0–7.2), strength of schedule (3.8–0.4).

Colorado State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (117.1–110.3), recent form (4.3–0.4), shooting efficiency (58.6–53.2).

Final

Colorado State

62—71

San Diego State

San Diego State by 9 • 69.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Colorado StateTEAM STATSan Diego State

19-57FG24-50

33.0%FG%48.0%

13-343PT1-11

38.0%3PT%9.0%

11-13FT22-42

85.0%FT%52.0%

31Rebounds43

9Offensive Rebounds14

10Assists6

16Turnovers13

5Steals9

2Blocks5

27Fouls16

Player Box Score

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brandon Rechsteiner	G	28	5-8	3-5	3-4	4	1	0	0	16
Jase Butler	G	36	4-12	3-6	3-3	3	3	3	0	14
Kyle Jorgensen	F	28	3-10	2-7	2-2	4	1	1	0	10
Jevin Muniz	G	32	3-8	3-6	0-0	5	2	0	0	9
Carey Booth	F	28	2-8	2-5	1-2	4	1	0	1	7
Jojo McIver	G	12	2-3	0-1	2-2	1	1	0	1	6
Augustinas Kiudulas	F	12	0-3	0-2	0-0	6	1	1	0	0
Rashaan Mbemba	F	11	0-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Josh Pascarelli	G	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Darnez Slater	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Miles Byrd	G	30	5-10	0-4	2-4	8	1	1	1	12
Reese Dixon-Waters	G	33	3-9	0-2	5-6	3	1	2	0	11
Pharaoh Compton	F	15	4-4	0-0	3-4	4	0	0	1	11
Tae Simmons	F	22	2-4	0-0	5-12	6	1	1	0	9
Sean Newman Jr.	G	20	4-6	0-0	1-2	2	0	1	0	9
Magoon Gwath	F	21	3-6	1-2	0-3	3	0	0	2	7
Miles Heide	F	22	2-4	0-0	2-5	8	0	1	1	6
BJ Davis	G	22	1-5	0-3	4-4	3	0	2	0	6
Taj DeGourville	G	15	0-2	0-0	0-2	2	3	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.6Possessions69.6

89.1Offensive Efficiency102.0

102.0Defensive Efficiency89.1

-12.9Net Efficiency12.9

44.7%Effective FG%49.0%

49.1%True Shooting %50.8%

22.8%Turnover Rate18.9%

22.8%Free Throw Rate84.0%

59.6%3-Point Rate22.0%

0.63Assist / Turnover0.46

Game Summary

San Diego State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 69.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.