UC San Diego

23-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

46.7%UC San Diego

53.3%Cal State Northridge

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Northridge -1.3

PROJECTED TOTAL156.5

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Northridge -114

Cal State Northridge

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC San Diego 78

Projected Total156.5

Projected ScoreCal State Northridge 79

Team Comparison

UC San DiegoMetricCal State Northridge

53.4MMH Power Index50

108.4Offensive Efficiency107.3

100.7Defensive Efficiency105.2

7.7Net Efficiency2.1

-1.3Strength of Schedule-0.6

5.4Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

69.8Tempo75.9

53.1%Effective FG%51.0%

16.4%Turnover Rate17.3%

26.9%Offensive Rebound %32.9%

33.2%Free Throw Rate34.7%

5.4Average Margin1.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC San Diego HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC San Diego holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.4–50.0), offensive efficiency (108.4–107.3), defensive efficiency (100.7–105.2), net efficiency (7.7–2.1).

Cal State Northridge COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.6–-1.3), offensive rebounding (32.9–26.9), free throw rate (34.7–33.2).

Final

UC San Diego

70—80

Cal State Northridge

Cal State Northridge by 10 • 72.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC San DiegoTEAM STATCal State Northridge

23-61FG30-61

38.0%FG%49.0%

9-333PT8-28

27.0%3PT%29.0%

15-17FT12-15

88.0%FT%80.0%

35Rebounds36

10Offensive Rebounds7

16Assists19

15Turnovers10

5Steals5

3Blocks6

13Fouls16

Player Box Score

UC San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tom Beattie	G	36	8-15	5-12	1-1	7	5	2	0	22
Hudson Mayes	G	34	5-11	2-4	5-5	5	4	0	1	17
Leo Beath	F	33	4-14	0-8	3-4	6	2	1	0	11
Dimitrije Vukicevic	C	15	3-5	0-0	3-4	2	0	0	0	9
Aidan Burke	G	12	2-2	2-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	6
Alex Chaikin	G	29	0-8	0-6	3-3	2	2	1	1	3
Emanuel Prospere II	G	11	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
Bol Dengdit	F	21	0-3	0-1	0-0	5	1	0	1	0
Jaden Vance	F	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cal State Northridge

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Larry Hughes II	G	40	14-25	6-16	0-0	3	1	0	0	34
Joshua O'Garro	G	34	6-10	1-4	2-2	6	4	1	2	15
Josiah Davis	G	35	4-9	0-0	6-9	5	9	1	0	14
Grady Lewis	F	21	3-4	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	0	6
Jordan Brinson	G	15	1-3	1-3	2-2	0	0	0	0	5
Mahmoud Fofana	F	32	1-3	0-0	2-2	12	2	1	2	4
Davius Loury	F	10	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Jai Chisolm	G	11	0-4	0-3	0-0	1	1	2	2	0
James Evans Jr.	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.6Possessions72.6

96.4Offensive Efficiency110.2

110.2Defensive Efficiency96.4

-13.8Net Efficiency13.8

45.1%Effective FG%55.7%

50.7%True Shooting %58.7%

20.2%Turnover Rate14.1%

27.9%Free Throw Rate24.6%

54.1%3-Point Rate45.9%

1.07Assist / Turnover1.90

Game Summary

Cal State Northridge won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 72.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.