UC Davis

19-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.0%UC Davis

65.0%Cal State Fullerton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Fullerton -4.2

PROJECTED TOTAL162.8

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Fullerton -186

Cal State Fullerton

18-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Davis 79

Projected Total162.8

Projected ScoreCal State Fullerton 83

Team Comparison

UC DavisMetricCal State Fullerton

48.4MMH Power Index49.4

107.2Offensive Efficiency108.8

103.7Defensive Efficiency107.1

3.5Net Efficiency1.7

-1.9Strength of Schedule-1.2

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency2.7

72.4Tempo76.3

52.3%Effective FG%52.6%

17.7%Turnover Rate15.1%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %25.5%

41.5%Free Throw Rate39.6%

2.5Average Margin1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal State Fullerton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal State Fullerton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–48.4), offensive efficiency (108.8–107.2), strength of schedule (-1.2–-1.9), recent form (2.7–-0.1).

UC Davis COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.7–107.1), net efficiency (3.5–1.7), offensive rebounding (26.7–25.5).

Final

UC Davis

70—82

Cal State Fullerton

Cal State Fullerton by 12 • 83.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC DavisTEAM STATCal State Fullerton

23-64FG20-56

36.0%FG%36.0%

7-293PT4-18

24.0%3PT%22.0%

17-22FT38-45

77.0%FT%84.0%

30Rebounds52

6Offensive Rebounds13

11Assists6

16Turnovers17

9Steals9

1Blocks1

29Fouls21

Player Box Score

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Connor Sevilla	G	37	6-13	3-8	5-6	2	0	2	0	20
Marcus Wilson	G	21	5-12	2-7	3-5	3	1	1	0	15
Omer Suljanovic	F	19	3-7	0-2	4-4	1	2	0	0	10
Brayden Fagbemi	G	33	3-11	0-2	3-4	5	6	3	0	9
Carl Daughtery Jr.	G	36	2-9	2-4	0-0	7	1	2	0	6
Isaiah Chappell	F	25	2-4	0-2	2-2	7	1	0	0	6
Niko Rocak	F	19	2-6	0-3	0-1	3	0	1	1	4
Cyril Franklin Jr.	G	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Chase Rawlins	G	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cal State Fullerton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joshua Ward	G	29	3-11	1-3	17-19	10	3	4	0	24
Landon Seaman	F	24	6-10	1-4	3-4	5	1	0	0	16
Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro	G	31	4-7	0-2	7-8	11	0	2	0	15
Bryce Cofield	G	24	3-10	0-0	4-6	10	0	1	0	10
KJ Garris	G	20	2-4	1-2	5-6	7	0	1	0	10
Bailey Nunn	G	25	1-2	1-1	2-2	3	1	0	0	5
Christian Williams	G	23	1-9	0-6	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
Kendrick De Luna	F	16	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0
Jaden Henderson	G	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

83.0Possessions83.0

84.3Offensive Efficiency98.8

98.8Defensive Efficiency84.3

-14.5Net Efficiency14.5

41.4%Effective FG%39.3%

47.0%True Shooting %53.0%

18.9%Turnover Rate20.9%

34.4%Free Throw Rate80.4%

45.3%3-Point Rate32.1%

0.69Assist / Turnover0.35

Game Summary

Cal State Fullerton won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 83.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.