Ohio State

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.8%Ohio State

91.2%Michigan

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan -16.6

PROJECTED TOTAL158.0

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan -1036

Michigan

36-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOhio State 71

Projected Total158.0

Projected ScoreMichigan 87

Team Comparison

Ohio StateMetricMichigan

64.5MMH Power Index80.9

118.1Offensive Efficiency122.3

108.1Defensive Efficiency97.0

10.0Net Efficiency25.3

6.4Strength of Schedule8.7

6.3Last 10 Net Efficiency17.2

67.2Tempo71.8

56.9%Effective FG%58.8%

15.3%Turnover Rate16.4%

30.7%Offensive Rebound %34.6%

38.3%Free Throw Rate38.9%

6.7Average Margin18.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (80.9–64.5), offensive efficiency (122.3–118.1), defensive efficiency (97.0–108.1), net efficiency (25.3–10.0).

Ohio State COUNTERS WITHball security (15.3–16.4).

Final

Ohio State

67—71

Michigan

Michigan by 4 • 67.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Ohio StateTEAM STATMichigan

22-58FG24-53

38.0%FG%45.0%

8-243PT5-17

33.0%3PT%29.0%

15-18FT18-24

83.0%FT%75.0%

32Rebounds34

10Offensive Rebounds6

11Assists17

10Turnovers9

6Steals7

4Blocks6

17Fouls16

Player Box Score

Ohio State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bruce Thornton	G	39	6-14	2-5	6-6	3	4	1	1	20
John Mobley Jr.	G	26	6-14	2-7	0-0	2	1	0	0	14
Devin Royal	F	36	4-12	2-4	3-4	11	1	2	0	13
Christoph Tilly	C	30	2-6	0-2	4-6	5	1	1	0	8
Amare Bynum	F	34	1-5	1-4	2-2	6	3	0	2	5
Gabe Cupps	G	17	2-3	1-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	5
Brandon Noel	F	12	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Ivan Njegovan	C	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	1	0
Puff Johnson	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Aday Mara	C	28	7-11	0-0	3-3	7	1	1	2	17
Elliot Cadeau	G	37	3-9	1-5	8-10	2	7	3	0	15
Trey McKenney	G	27	5-8	2-5	0-0	4	0	1	1	12
Morez Johnson Jr.	F	28	5-11	1-1	0-0	7	1	0	1	11
Yaxel Lendeborg	F	35	1-4	0-2	4-6	5	6	2	0	6
Nimari Burnett	G	18	2-4	1-2	1-2	1	1	0	0	6
Roddy Gayle Jr.	G	20	1-6	0-2	2-3	4	1	0	2	4
Will Tschetter	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.0Possessions67.0

100.0Offensive Efficiency106.0

106.0Defensive Efficiency100.0

-6.0Net Efficiency6.0

44.8%Effective FG%50.0%

50.3%True Shooting %55.1%

15.0%Turnover Rate13.4%

31.0%Free Throw Rate45.3%

41.4%3-Point Rate32.1%

1.10Assist / Turnover1.89

Game Summary

Michigan won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 67.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.