Missouri State

16-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.7%Missouri State

60.3%Louisiana Tech

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLouisiana Tech -4.6

PROJECTED TOTAL141.7

MODEL MONEYLINELouisiana Tech -152

Louisiana Tech

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMissouri State 69

Projected Total141.7

Projected ScoreLouisiana Tech 73

Team Comparison

Missouri StateMetricLouisiana Tech

51.1MMH Power Index50.3

110.5Offensive Efficiency106.1

108.4Defensive Efficiency98.7

2.1Net Efficiency7.4

0.5Strength of Schedule-5.1

-2.1Last 10 Net Efficiency5.4

67.9Tempo65.9

51.8%Effective FG%49.4%

16.4%Turnover Rate18.5%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %37.3%

42.9%Free Throw Rate33.5%

1.4Average Margin4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Missouri State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMissouri State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.1–50.3), offensive efficiency (110.5–106.1), strength of schedule (0.5–-5.1), shooting efficiency (51.8–49.4).

Louisiana Tech COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (98.7–108.4), net efficiency (7.4–2.1), recent form (5.4–-2.1).

Final

Missouri State

66—69

Louisiana Tech

Louisiana Tech by 3 • 56.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Missouri StateTEAM STATLouisiana Tech

24-55FG26-54

44.0%FG%48.0%

7-263PT4-15

27.0%3PT%27.0%

11-15FT13-18

73.0%FT%72.0%

29Rebounds34

12Offensive Rebounds12

13Assists11

6Turnovers7

4Steals4

2Blocks1

14Fouls17

Player Box Score

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Michael Osei-Bonsu	F	35	6-10	0-0	7-10	8	5	0	1	19
Keith Palek III	F	30	7-13	0-3	1-2	3	1	1	0	15
Melakih Cunningham	G	29	5-10	2-6	1-1	4	1	1	1	13
Trey Williams Jr.	G	34	4-9	3-7	0-0	2	4	0	0	11
Zaxton King	G	22	2-6	2-5	0-0	0	1	1	0	6
Kobi Williams	G	35	0-6	0-5	2-2	1	1	1	0	2
Darrion Sutton	F	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Cameron Boone	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Tyrique Brooks	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Louisiana Tech

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
AJ Bates	G	40	10-21	1-4	6-6	2	6	0	0	27
DJ Dudley	G	32	5-9	0-2	0-0	3	2	0	0	10
Avery Thomas II	F	33	3-6	1-3	0-0	12	2	3	1	7
Kaden Cooper	G	19	2-6	1-2	2-2	4	0	1	0	7
Will Allen	F	16	2-3	1-2	2-2	3	0	0	0	7
Sir Issac Herron	F	11	3-4	0-0	1-4	3	0	0	0	7
Jaylen Fenner	G	32	0-3	0-1	2-4	2	1	0	0	2
Melian Martinez	C	14	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Scooter Williams	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

56.9Possessions56.9

116.0Offensive Efficiency121.3

121.3Defensive Efficiency116.0

-5.3Net Efficiency5.3

50.0%Effective FG%51.9%

53.1%True Shooting %55.2%

10.7%Turnover Rate12.2%

27.3%Free Throw Rate33.3%

47.3%3-Point Rate27.8%

2.17Assist / Turnover1.57

Game Summary

Louisiana Tech won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 56.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.