Iowa State

28-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

27.8%Iowa State

72.2%Arizona

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArizona -6.9

PROJECTED TOTAL153.7

MODEL MONEYLINEArizona -260

Arizona

36-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIowa State 73

Projected Total153.7

Projected ScoreArizona 80

Team Comparison

Iowa StateMetricArizona

75.9MMH Power Index79.9

119.3Offensive Efficiency120.3

96.0Defensive Efficiency96.9

23.3Net Efficiency23.4

4.9Strength of Schedule8.0

17.5Last 10 Net Efficiency17.0

68.4Tempo71.6

56.1%Effective FG%55.0%

15.0%Turnover Rate15.1%

35.5%Offensive Rebound %37.8%

35.2%Free Throw Rate45.3%

15.9Average Margin16.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arizona HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArizona holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (79.9–75.9), offensive efficiency (120.3–119.3), net efficiency (23.4–23.3), strength of schedule (8.0–4.9).

Iowa State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (96.0–96.9), recent form (17.5–17.0), shooting efficiency (56.1–55.0).

Final

Iowa State

80—82

Arizona

Arizona by 2 • 66.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Iowa StateTEAM STATArizona

31-66FG32-58

47.0%FG%55.0%

14-313PT8-16

45.0%3PT%50.0%

4-8FT10-16

50.0%FT%63.0%

34Rebounds33

15Offensive Rebounds11

14Assists19

11Turnovers12

8Steals9

2Blocks4

16Fouls14

Player Box Score

Iowa State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Milan Momcilovic	F	36	10-18	8-14	0-0	5	0	0	1	28
Joshua Jefferson	F	33	9-17	3-7	0-2	4	2	3	1	21
Killyan Toure	G	27	5-9	2-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	12
Tamin Lipsey	G	31	2-11	1-5	3-5	4	7	3	0	8
Blake Buchanan	F	25	4-7	0-0	0-0	4	3	1	0	8
Nate Heise	G	23	1-2	0-1	1-1	3	1	0	0	3
Dominykas Pleta	F	15	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	0
Jamarion Batemon	G	10	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Anthony Dell'Orso	G	29	10-14	6-9	0-0	5	0	1	0	26
Ivan Kharchenkov	F	32	6-9	2-3	3-4	3	5	3	1	17
Jaden Bradley	G	31	6-11	0-0	3-4	2	7	2	1	15
Tobe Awaka	F	27	5-9	0-0	0-1	10	1	0	0	10
Motiejus Krivas	C	27	3-4	0-1	1-1	4	0	1	2	7
Koa Peat	F	26	2-4	0-0	0-2	6	5	1	0	4
Brayden Burries	G	20	0-7	0-3	3-4	1	0	1	0	3
Dwayne Aristode	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.2Possessions66.2

120.8Offensive Efficiency123.9

123.9Defensive Efficiency120.8

-3.0Net Efficiency3.0

57.6%Effective FG%62.1%

57.3%True Shooting %62.5%

16.7%Turnover Rate18.0%

12.1%Free Throw Rate27.6%

47.0%3-Point Rate27.6%

1.27Assist / Turnover1.58

Game Summary

Arizona won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 66.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.