Cal State Northridge

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

19.1%Cal State Northridge

80.9%UC Irvine

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Irvine -10.8

PROJECTED TOTAL156.4

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Irvine -424

UC Irvine

23-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Northridge 73

Projected Total156.4

Projected ScoreUC Irvine 84

Team Comparison

Cal State NorthridgeMetricUC Irvine

50MMH Power Index58.4

107.3Offensive Efficiency106.9

105.2Defensive Efficiency95.0

2.1Net Efficiency11.9

-0.6Strength of Schedule-1.0

1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency10.0

75.9Tempo72.3

51.0%Effective FG%50.7%

17.3%Turnover Rate17.6%

32.9%Offensive Rebound %33.1%

34.7%Free Throw Rate36.5%

1.6Average Margin8.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Irvine HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Irvine holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.4–50.0), defensive efficiency (95.0–105.2), net efficiency (11.9–2.1), recent form (10.0–1.8).

Cal State Northridge COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (107.3–106.9), strength of schedule (-0.6–-1.0), shooting efficiency (51.0–50.7).

Final

Cal State Northridge

78—93

UC Irvine

UC Irvine by 15 • 70.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State NorthridgeTEAM STATUC Irvine

32-68FG33-64

47.0%FG%52.0%

9-253PT10-25

36.0%3PT%40.0%

5-8FT17-22

63.0%FT%77.0%

26Rebounds44

10Offensive Rebounds17

15Assists20

8Turnovers14

6Steals6

2Blocks5

17Fouls12

Player Box Score

Cal State Northridge

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josiah Davis	G	38	13-26	0-3	0-0	5	8	1	0	26
Joshua O'Garro	G	36	9-14	4-7	0-0	2	2	0	0	22
James Evans Jr.	G	27	5-14	5-12	2-2	0	2	3	1	17
Mahmoud Fofana	F	31	3-4	0-0	0-0	4	1	2	0	6
Grady Lewis	F	14	2-4	0-0	1-3	5	0	0	1	5
Larry Hughes II	G	39	0-3	0-1	2-3	1	2	0	0	2
Jordan Brinson	G	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jai Chisolm	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Davius Loury	F	3	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

UC Irvine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Derin Saran	G	32	9-18	3-7	2-2	9	5	4	0	23
Jurian Dixon	G	30	7-14	3-7	1-2	5	7	0	0	18
Kyle Evans	F	32	5-6	0-0	5-5	8	0	0	1	15
Andre Henry	G	24	3-8	2-5	4-4	1	2	0	0	12
Tama Isaac	G	26	2-6	1-4	4-4	1	3	0	1	9
Jovan Jester Jr.	G	12	4-8	1-2	0-3	0	3	2	0	9
Harrison Carrington	F	8	2-2	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	0	5
Elijah Chol	F	16	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	2
Akiva McBirney-Griffin	F	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Nes Emeneke	F	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	2	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.7Possessions70.7

110.3Offensive Efficiency131.5

131.5Defensive Efficiency110.3

-21.2Net Efficiency21.2

53.7%Effective FG%59.4%

54.3%True Shooting %62.5%

11.5%Turnover Rate19.6%

11.8%Free Throw Rate34.4%

36.8%3-Point Rate39.1%

1.88Assist / Turnover1.43

Game Summary

UC Irvine won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 70.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.