UCLA

24-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.0%UCLA

78.0%Michigan State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -9.4

PROJECTED TOTAL149.0

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -355

Michigan State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUCLA 70

Projected Total149.0

Projected ScoreMichigan State 79

Team Comparison

UCLAMetricMichigan State

63MMH Power Index69.8

115.9Offensive Efficiency117.0

106.9Defensive Efficiency101.5

9.0Net Efficiency15.5

5.1Strength of Schedule7.2

8.0Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

66.5Tempo67.3

53.5%Effective FG%54.1%

13.4%Turnover Rate17.2%

30.7%Offensive Rebound %37.7%

33.8%Free Throw Rate36.6%

6.0Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–63.0), offensive efficiency (117.0–115.9), defensive efficiency (101.5–106.9), net efficiency (15.5–9.0).

UCLA COUNTERS WITHball security (13.4–17.2).

Final

UCLA

88—84

Michigan State

UCLA by 4 • 66.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UCLATEAM STATMichigan State

30-54FG28-62

56.0%FG%45.0%

13-273PT11-23

48.0%3PT%48.0%

15-19FT17-22

79.0%FT%77.0%

26Rebounds34

6Offensive Rebounds16

20Assists24

8Turnovers12

12Steals3

3Blocks2

21Fouls17

Player Box Score

UCLA

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Donovan Dent	G	38	8-18	3-5	4-5	6	12	4	0	23
Trent Perry	G	30	6-10	4-8	6-6	0	3	0	1	22
Skyy Clark	G	33	6-11	3-8	0-0	0	1	1	0	15
Eric Dailey Jr.	G	34	5-7	2-3	2-4	10	3	4	2	14
Brandon Williams	G	19	3-4	0-0	3-4	4	0	3	0	9
Tyler Bilodeau	F	10	2-2	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Xavier Booker	F	14	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Eric Freeny	G	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
Jamar Brown	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Steven Jamerson II	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jeremy Fears Jr.	G	36	7-14	2-3	5-5	1	13	1	0	21
Carson Cooper	C	29	4-7	0-0	5-6	5	1	1	0	13
Kur Teng	G	26	4-11	3-8	2-3	1	1	0	0	13
Coen Carr	F	28	5-9	1-1	1-3	8	3	0	0	12
Trey Fort	G	13	3-5	2-2	0-0	1	1	0	1	8
Jordan Scott	F	29	2-7	2-6	1-1	4	3	1	1	7
Jaxon Kohler	F	26	2-6	1-3	2-2	7	2	0	0	7
Cam Ward	F	11	1-1	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	0	3
Denham Wojcik	G	2	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.8Possessions66.8

131.7Offensive Efficiency125.7

125.7Defensive Efficiency131.7

6.0Net Efficiency-6.0

67.6%Effective FG%54.0%

69.8%True Shooting %58.0%

12.3%Turnover Rate17.5%

35.2%Free Throw Rate35.5%

50.0%3-Point Rate37.1%

2.50Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

UCLA won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 66.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.