Cal State Fullerton

18-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.6%Cal State Fullerton

74.4%Hawai'i

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADHawai'i -9.3

PROJECTED TOTAL161.2

MODEL MONEYLINEHawai'i -291

Hawai'i

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Fullerton 76

Projected Total161.2

Projected ScoreHawai'i 85

Team Comparison

Cal State FullertonMetricHawai'i

49.4MMH Power Index54.4

108.8Offensive Efficiency109.4

107.1Defensive Efficiency97.0

1.7Net Efficiency12.4

-1.2Strength of Schedule-2.8

2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

76.3Tempo72.8

52.6%Effective FG%52.4%

15.1%Turnover Rate18.4%

25.5%Offensive Rebound %32.0%

39.6%Free Throw Rate43.4%

1.3Average Margin9.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Hawai'i HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMHawai'i holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.4–49.4), offensive efficiency (109.4–108.8), defensive efficiency (97.0–107.1), net efficiency (12.4–1.7).

Cal State Fullerton COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.2–-2.8), recent form (2.7–-1.8), shooting efficiency (52.6–52.4).

Final

Cal State Fullerton

63—78

Hawai'i

Hawai'i by 15 • 73.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State FullertonTEAM STATHawai'i

23-64FG25-61

36.0%FG%41.0%

10-323PT3-22

31.0%3PT%14.0%

7-10FT25-26

70.0%FT%96.0%

26Rebounds53

6Offensive Rebounds16

14Assists18

10Turnovers17

8Steals7

4Blocks5

20Fouls15

Player Box Score

Cal State Fullerton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Christian Williams	G	32	7-15	6-10	1-1	3	1	3	0	21
Bailey Nunn	G	25	3-4	3-4	2-2	1	0	0	0	11
Bryce Cofield	G	19	3-4	1-1	2-3	2	3	0	1	9
Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro	G	33	3-10	0-4	0-0	5	4	3	0	6
Joshua Ward	G	29	2-11	0-5	2-4	2	5	2	0	6
Landon Seaman	F	20	2-7	0-3	0-0	1	1	0	2	4
KJ Garris	G	18	2-7	0-4	0-0	3	0	0	1	4
Kendrick De Luna	F	16	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Jaden Henderson	G	8	0-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Hawai'i

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaac Johnson	C	22	6-15	1-6	6-6	5	3	0	1	19
Harry Rouhliadeff	F	34	6-11	0-4	4-4	10	0	1	1	16
Dre Bullock	G	32	4-11	1-3	2-2	5	3	2	0	11
Hunter Erickson	G	35	2-5	0-3	6-7	5	5	2	2	10
Isaac Finlinson	F	34	3-7	1-2	1-1	9	0	0	0	8
Isaiah Kerr	G	19	2-5	0-2	4-4	3	2	1	1	8
Gytis Nemeiksa	F	14	1-5	0-2	2-2	6	2	0	0	4
Yacine Toumi	F	10	1-2	0-0	0-0	5	3	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

73.6Possessions73.6

85.6Offensive Efficiency106.0

106.0Defensive Efficiency85.6

-20.4Net Efficiency20.4

43.8%Effective FG%43.4%

45.8%True Shooting %53.2%

13.7%Turnover Rate22.9%

15.6%Free Throw Rate42.6%

50.0%3-Point Rate36.1%

1.40Assist / Turnover1.06

Game Summary

Hawai'i won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 73.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.